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UCAM Murcia B vs Balsicas Atletico

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2023/2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

UCAM Murcia B play Balsicas Atletico in the Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2023/2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, UCAM Murcia B averaged 1.56 goals scored and 1.06 conceded. Balsicas Atletico averaged 1.03 goals scored and 1.63 conceded. In past meetings, UCAM Murcia B won 0, Balsicas Atletico won 0, and they drew 2. Their last match on Mar 24, 2024 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.35 for UCAM Murcia B and 1.06 for Balsicas Atletico. This points to a UCAM Murcia B double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
UCAM Murcia B
35%
Draws
25%
Balsicas Atletico
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: UCAM Murcia B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • UCAM Murcia B picked up more points recently compared to Balsicas Atletico.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.35 vs 1.06 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 78%
Over 2.5 Goals 44%
Over 3.5 Goals 26%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 52%
UCAM Murcia B Clean Sheet 22%
Balsicas Atletico Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 70%
Second Half Goal 74%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UCAM Murcia B Balsicas Atletico
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 12 8
Draws 16 8
Losses 4 14
Goals Scored 1.56 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.06 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 24, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
UCAM Murcia B vs Balsicas Atletico
1:1
Nov 5, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Balsicas Atletico vs UCAM Murcia B
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

UCAM Murcia B Compare

Top Goalscorer Sevila M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Balsicas Atletico Compare

Top Goalscorer Vivancos J. M. G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UCAM Murcia B 40 / 100
Balsicas Atletico 25 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UCAM Murcia B Balsicas Atletico

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: UCAM Murcia B or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +25.2%
3.13
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +15.7%
2.63
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

UCAM Murcia B attacking → ← attacking Balsicas Atletico

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UCAM Murcia B scored in 78% of their last 32 games.

Balsicas Atletico let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

UCAM Murcia B went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Balsicas Atletico lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

52 Points in last 5 32
1.50 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Deportiva Minera34246453:1978
2Real Murcia B34208667:3368
3Ciudad Cieza341911444:2468
4UCAM Murcia B341951042:2462
5Caravaca34187960:3261
6Lorca Deportiva34178964:3059
7Molinense341851160:3459
8CA Pulpileno341313839:2352
9Muleno CF341271537:4243
10Racing Murcia341171636:5140
11Plus Ultra341222043:5638
12E.G. El Palmar34991633:5236
13Bullense341061840:6536
14Balsicas Atletico34991635:5336
15Alcantarilla341061834:4136
16Ciudad de Murcia34791828:4330
17CD Algar34781931:6529
18Montecasillas34722531:9023