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UCAM Murcia B vs Deportivo Maritimo Prediction & H2H Stats

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Our Tip

Match Events

33' Event
Forcada I.
38' Event
Campillo M.
(Penalty)
58' Event
Perez T.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 13 game between UCAM Murcia B and Deportivo Maritimo finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward UCAM Murcia B.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
UCAM Murcia B
20%
Draws
44%
Deportivo Maritimo
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Deportivo Maritimo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • UCAM Murcia B carry the better recent record into this one.
  • UCAM Murcia B are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 13 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
UCAM Murcia B Clean Sheet 68%
Deportivo Maritimo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UCAM Murcia B Deportivo Maritimo
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 11 7
Draws 13 8
Losses 5 13
Goals Scored 1.79 0.89
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
UCAM Murcia B vs Deportivo Maritimo
4:0
Apr 11, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
UCAM Murcia B vs Deportivo Maritimo
1:1
Dec 7, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Deportivo Maritimo vs UCAM Murcia B
1:2
May 11, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
UCAM Murcia B vs Deportivo Maritimo
1:1
Jan 12, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Deportivo Maritimo vs UCAM Murcia B
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

UCAM Murcia B Compare

Top Goalscorer Perez T.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Forcada I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Deportivo Maritimo Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UCAM Murcia B 59 / 100
Deportivo Maritimo 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UCAM Murcia B Deportivo Maritimo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UCAM Murcia B Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UCAM Murcia B scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

Deportivo Maritimo let in goals in 82% of their last 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

UCAM Murcia B went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

UCAM Murcia B VS Deportivo Maritimo
2.25 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

UCAM Murcia B

(Home)
04 Oct
Club Olimpico de Totana
1 : 0
UCAM Murcia B
27 Sept
UCAM Murcia B
1 : 1
San Javier
20 Sept
FC Cartagena SAD B
2 : 2
UCAM Murcia B
13 Sept
UCAM Murcia B
4 : 0
Deportivo Maritimo
05 Sept
Santomera
2 : 1
UCAM Murcia B
Page 1 of 6

Deportivo Maritimo

(Away)
27 Sept
CD Algar
1 : 2
Deportivo Maritimo
20 Sept
Deportivo Maritimo
0 : 1
UD Los Garres
13 Sept
UCAM Murcia B
4 : 0
Deportivo Maritimo
06 Sept
Deportivo Maritimo
0 : 1
Minerva
10 May
Yeclano B
1 : 3
Deportivo Maritimo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santomera 5 4 1 0 11:6 13
2 San Javier 5 3 2 0 8:5 11
3 Alcantarilla 5 2 3 0 5:2 9
4 Molinense 5 2 2 1 10:8 8
5 CA Pulpileno 5 2 2 1 6:4 8
6 Club Olimpico de Totana 5 2 2 1 6:5 8
7 Minerva 5 2 2 1 3:2 8
8 Cotillas CD 5 2 1 2 7:8 7
9 Santa Cruz 5 1 3 1 8:8 6
10 UCAM Murcia B 5 1 2 2 8:6 5
11 Bullas Deportivo 4 1 2 1 5:3 5
12 Aguilas FC B 5 0 5 0 5:5 5
13 Bala Azul 5 1 2 2 4:5 5
14 UD Los Garres 5 1 2 2 4:5 5
15 FC Cartagena SAD B 5 1 2 2 6:8 5
16 Deportivo Maritimo 4 1 0 3 2:7 3
17 CD Algar 5 1 0 4 3:10 3
18 Mazarron FC 5 0 1 4 5:9 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 6 (Promotion - Play Offs)