Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2023/2024

UCAM Murcia B

1 - 0

Montecasillas

Our Tip

Match Events

32'

Domingo A.

74'

El-Mssilak S.

74'

El-Mssilak S.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

UCAM Murcia B in this Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored UCAM Murcia B.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

UCAM Murcia B

Draws

Montecasillas

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: UCAM Murcia B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

UCAM Murcia B have won more games recently than Montecasillas.
UCAM Murcia B are the model's pick here, at 90%.
Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%

UCAM Murcia B Clean Sheet 68%

Montecasillas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	UCAM Murcia B	Montecasillas
Matches Played	38	30
Wins	16	7
Draws	17	2
Losses	5	21
Goals Scored	1.5	0
Goals Conceded	1.13	0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 21, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 13

UCAM Murcia B vs Montecasillas

Possession: 55% - 58% Cards: 3 - 1

1:0

Dec 2, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 13

Montecasillas vs UCAM Murcia B

Possession: 52% - 56% Cards: 3 - 2

2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

UCAM Murcia B Compare

Top Goalscorer Domingo A.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.15

Avg xA / game 0.75

Montecasillas Compare

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UCAM Murcia B 95 / 100

Montecasillas 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

UCAM Murcia B Montecasillas

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UCM Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 3:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Montecasillas let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

UCAM Murcia B has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: UCAM Murcia B scored in 79% of their last 38 outings.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Scoring Trends

UCAM Murcia B VS -

1.5 Goals Scored 0

1.13 Goals Conceded 0

88% Over 1.5 0%

38% Over 2.5 0%

25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Deportiva Minera	34	24	6	4	53:19	78
2	Real Murcia B	34	20	8	6	67:33	68
3	Ciudad Cieza	34	19	11	4	44:24	68
4	UCAM Murcia B	34	19	5	10	42:24	62
5	Caravaca	34	18	7	9	60:32	61
6	Lorca Deportiva	34	17	8	9	64:30	59
7	Molinense	34	18	5	11	60:34	59
8	CA Pulpileno	34	13	13	8	39:23	52
9	Muleno CF	34	12	7	15	37:42	43
10	Racing Murcia	34	11	7	16	36:51	40
11	Plus Ultra	34	12	2	20	43:56	38
12	E.G. El Palmar	34	9	9	16	33:52	36
13	Bullense	34	10	6	18	40:65	36
14	Balsicas Atletico	34	9	9	16	35:53	36
15	Alcantarilla	34	10	6	18	34:41	36
16	Ciudad de Murcia	34	7	9	18	28:43	30
17	CD Algar	34	7	8	19	31:65	29
18	Montecasillas	34	7	2	25	31:90	23