Sport Picks
UCSA vs Fenix Mariupol - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Ukraine
Persha Liga 
AI Match Summary
UCSA host Fenix Mariupol in the Persha Liga. This one's hard to separate. Fenix Mariupol have shipped 1.1 goals a game lately, while UCSA have conceded 1.57 and scored 1.11. Past meetings favor UCSA slightly — 3-0-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Nov 30, 2025, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 0.94 vs 1.75, favoring Fenix Mariupol. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Fenix Mariupol have won more games recently than UCSA.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | UCSA | Fenix Mariupol |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 30 |
| Wins | 8 | 10 |
| Draws | 7 | 11 |
| Losses | 13 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.11 | 1.43 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.57 | 1.1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.94 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.
Attacking prowess: UCSA scored in 61% of their last 28 outings.
Defensive concern: Fenix Mariupol conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.
UCSA has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
UCSA
(Home)Fenix Mariupol
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Victoria | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 12:6 | 20 |
| 2 | Oleksandriya | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 15:7 | 19 |
| 3 | SC Poltava | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 16:7 | 18 |
| 4 | Kulikiv | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 20:11 | 17 |
| 5 | Ahrobiznes Volochysk | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 17:14 | 17 |
| 6 | Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998) | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12:9 | 15 |
| 7 | Fenix Mariupol | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12:11 | 15 |
| 8 | Inhulets | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 10:11 | 14 |
| 9 | Metalist Kharkiv | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 11:11 | 14 |
| 10 | Lokomotyv Kyiv | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 12:12 | 13 |
| 11 | Kolos Kovalivka 2 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 11:17 | 12 |
| 12 | Nyva Ternopil | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 9:9 | 11 |
| 13 | UCSA | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 14:17 | 10 |
| 14 | FC Chernihiv | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 10:14 | 7 |
| 15 | Zhytomyr 2 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 14:20 | 7 |
| 16 | Probiy Horodenka | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 8:27 | 5 |
