Sport Picks

Stadium Background

UCSA vs Kremin

Ukraine Ukraine

Persha Liga 2024/2025 Bannikov Stadium, Kyiv
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Castro P.
18' Event
Guerreiro V.
20' Event
Guerreiro V.

AI Match Summary

The Persha Liga 2024/2025 game between UCSA and Kremin finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward UCSA.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
UCSA
30%
Draws
23%
Kremin
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: UCSA

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Kremin haven't matched UCSA's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Persha Liga 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
UCSA Clean Sheet 16%
Kremin Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UCSA Kremin
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 5
Draws 7 7
Losses 11 18
Goals Scored 1.4 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 4, 2024 Persha Liga
Kremin vs UCSA
0:1
Sep 11, 2024 Persha Liga
UCSA vs Kremin
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

UCSA Compare

Top Goalscorer Castro P.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Guerreiro V.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

Kremin Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UCSA 30 / 100
Kremin 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UCSA Kremin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UCSA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: UCSA scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Kremin's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Kremin registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

UCSA VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
2 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

UCSA

(Home)
11 Sept
UCSA
3 : 2
FC Chernihiv
05 Sept
Metalist Kharkiv
3 : 1
UCSA
29 Aug
UCSA
1 : 2
Inhulets
22 Aug
UCSA
0 : 3
Kolos Kovalivka
15 Aug
SC Poltava
0 : 0
UCSA
Page 1 of 6

Kremin

(Away)
23 May
Kremin
0 : 2
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi
17 May
Minaj
3 : 0
Kremin
11 May
Kremin
0 : 0
Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998)
03 May
Nyva Ternopil
3 : 1
Kremin
19 Apr
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi
1 : 1
Kremin
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Epitsentr 14 8 5 1 21:7 29
2 Ahrobiznes Volochysk 14 9 1 4 16:13 28
3 Metalist Kharkiv 14 6 4 4 20:11 22
4 Bukovyna 14 5 5 4 11:11 20
5 Nyva Ternopil 14 4 4 6 13:17 16
6 Minaj 14 4 4 6 12:20 16
7 Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998) 14 3 4 7 14:18 13
8 FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi 14 1 5 8 9:19 8
9 Khust 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Persha Liga 2024/2025 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Persha Liga 2024/2025 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kudrivka 16 9 4 3 22:12 31
2 FC Kharkiv 16 8 5 3 21:10 29
3 SC Poltava 16 8 5 3 24:14 29
4 UCSA 16 8 4 4 31:21 28
5 Victoria 16 6 5 5 23:12 23
6 Fenix Mariupol 16 5 3 8 17:23 18
7 MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya 16 4 5 7 15:22 17
8 Dinaz Vyshgorod 16 3 4 9 12:28 13
9 Kremin 16 2 3 11 9:32 9
Promotion - Persha Liga 2024/2025 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Persha Liga 2024/2025 (Relegation Group)