Sport Picks
UCSA vs Vorskla Poltava Prediction & H2H Stats
Ukraine
Persha Liga 2025/2026 
Match Events
46'
46'
Sub
Burenko M. In: Andrushchenko M.
Out: Burenko M.
52'
52'
Pedro Acacio
58'
58'
Andrushchenko M.
AI Match Summary
The Persha Liga 2025/2026 game between UCSA and Vorskla Poltava finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
37%
35%
28%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: UCSA
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
37%
/ Low Confidence
- UCSA carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives UCSA a 37% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
UCSA Clean Sheet 68%
Vorskla Poltava Clean Sheet 17%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | UCSA | Vorskla Poltava |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 26 |
| Wins | 8 | 5 |
| Draws | 8 | 8 |
| Losses | 12 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.07 | 0.69 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Nov 22, 2025 Persha Liga
UCSA vs Vorskla Poltava
1:1
Aug 8, 2025 Persha Liga
Vorskla Poltava vs UCSA
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
UCSA Compare
Top Goalscorer Pedro Acacio
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44
Vorskla Poltava Compare
Top Goalscorer Voytsekhovskyi V.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
UCSA 68 / 100
Vorskla Poltava 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
UCSA Vorskla Poltava
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick UCSA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Vorskla Poltava has conceded goals in 81% of their last 26 outings.
UCSA's goal record stands at 61% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.
UCSA has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
UCSA VS Vorskla Poltava
1.25 Goals Scored 0.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
UCSA
(Home) 26 Sept
UCSA
0 : 0 Victoria
20 Sept
Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998)
1 : 0 UCSA
11 Sept
UCSA
3 : 2 FC Chernihiv
05 Sept
Metalist Kharkiv
3 : 1 UCSA
29 Aug
UCSA
1 : 2 Inhulets
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
UCSA
0 : 0 Victoria
11 Sept
UCSA
3 : 2 FC Chernihiv
29 Aug
UCSA
1 : 2 Inhulets
22 Aug
UCSA
0 : 3 Kolos Kovalivka
07 Aug
UCSA
1 : 0 Nyva Ternopil
Page 1 of 3
Vorskla Poltava
(Away) 30 May
Vorskla Poltava
1 : 1 FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi
23 May
Nyva Ternopil
1 : 1 Vorskla Poltava
17 May
Vorskla Poltava
1 : 1 Metalist Kharkiv
09 May
Bukovyna
6 : 0 Vorskla Poltava
03 May
Vorskla Poltava
0 : 1 Livyi Bereg
Page 1 of 6
23 May
Nyva Ternopil
1 : 1 Vorskla Poltava
09 May
Bukovyna
6 : 0 Vorskla Poltava
26 Apr
FC Chernihiv
1 : 2 Vorskla Poltava
12 Apr
Victoria
1 : 0 Vorskla Poltava
04 Apr
Ahrobiznes Volochysk
2 : 0 Vorskla Poltava
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bukovyna | 30 | 26 | 3 | 1 | 74:21 | 81 |
| 2 | Ch. Odesa | 30 | 19 | 8 | 3 | 44:20 | 65 |
| 3 | Livyi Bereg | 30 | 19 | 6 | 5 | 50:21 | 63 |
| 4 | Ahrobiznes Volochysk | 30 | 16 | 5 | 9 | 36:28 | 53 |
| 5 | Inhulets | 30 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 41:32 | 46 |
| 6 | Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998) | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 33:33 | 37 |
| 7 | Metalist Kharkiv | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 31:35 | 37 |
| 8 | Probiy Horodenka | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 29:37 | 36 |
| 9 | Fenix Mariupol | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 31:32 | 36 |
| 10 | Victoria | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 37:38 | 36 |
| 11 | UCSA | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 30:40 | 36 |
| 12 | Nyva Ternopil | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 24:34 | 34 |
| 13 | FC Chernihiv | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 30:36 | 31 |
| 14 | Vorskla Poltava | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 23:36 | 30 |
| 15 | FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi | 30 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 20:45 | 21 |
| 16 | MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya | 30 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 16:61 | 19 |
| 17 | Minaj | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Promotion - Premier League (Main)
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Druha Liga (Main)
