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UD Alagoana W vs Canoense W Prediction & H2H Stats

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Alagoano Women 2024
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AI Match Summary

UD Alagoana W in this Alagoano Women 2024 tie, finishing 4-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
UD Alagoana W
15%
Draws
42%
Canoense W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: UD Alagoana W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Canoense W haven't matched UD Alagoana W's recent run of results.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Canoense W taking it.
  • UD Alagoana W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor UD Alagoana W, who have won 3 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • UD Alagoana W have won 4 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
UD Alagoana W Clean Sheet 19%
Canoense W Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UD Alagoana W Canoense W
Matches Played 34 14
Wins 17 6
Draws 2 0
Losses 15 8
Goals Scored 2 2.57
Goals Conceded 1.65 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 17, 2024 Alagoano Women
UD Alagoana W vs Canoense W
4:0
Nov 10, 2024 Alagoano Women
Canoense W vs UD Alagoana W
0:2
Nov 5, 2023 Alagoano Women
UD Alagoana W vs Canoense W
1:0
Oct 15, 2023 Alagoano Women
UD Alagoana W vs Canoense W
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UD Alagoana W 10 / 100
Canoense W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UD Alagoana W Canoense W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Canoense W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UD Alagoana W's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 34 recent games.

Canoense W let in goals in 71% of their last 14 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Difficult form: Canoense W registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

UD Alagoana W VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

UD Alagoana W

(Home)
08 Aug
UD Alagoana W
0 : 4
Vasco W
01 Aug
3B da Amazonia W
4 : 0
UD Alagoana W
25 Jul
UD Alagoana W
2 : 1
Doce Mel W
01 Jun
UD Alagoana W
0 : 2
Acao W
28 May
Ferroviaria W
8 : 0
UD Alagoana W
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Canoense W

(Away)
17 Nov
UD Alagoana W
4 : 0
Canoense W
10 Nov
Canoense W
0 : 2
UD Alagoana W
03 Nov
Acaua FC W
2 : 1
Canoense W
20 Oct
Canoense W
4 : 1
CRB W
13 Oct
Guarani de Paripueira W
4 : 2
Canoense W
Page 1 of 3

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
UD Alagoana W 4
Canoense W 0
Guarani de Paripueira W 3
Acaua FC W 0
Final
UD Alagoana W 5
Guarani de Paripueira W 0