Sport Picks

Brazil

Brasileiro A3 Women 2025

Doce Mel W

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

UD Alagoana W play Doce Mel W in the Brasileiro A3 Women 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, UD Alagoana W averaged 2.2 goals scored and 1.53 conceded. Doce Mel W averaged 1.03 goals scored and 2.1 conceded. In past meetings, UD Alagoana W won 1, Doce Mel W won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jun 13, 2025 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.50 for UD Alagoana W and 1.75 for Doce Mel W. This points to a UD Alagoana W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%

UD Alagoana W

15%

Draws

36%

Doce Mel W

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: UD Alagoana W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

75% / High Confidence

UD Alagoana W picked up more points recently compared to Doce Mel W.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.50 vs 1.75 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 69%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 85%

Over 2.5 Goals 69%

Over 3.5 Goals 41%

Over 4.5 Goals 21%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35%

UD Alagoana W Clean Sheet 12%

Doce Mel W Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 77%

Second Half Goal 81%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	UD Alagoana W	Doce Mel W
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	15	9
Draws	2	6
Losses	13	15
Goals Scored	2.2	1.03
Goals Conceded	1.53	2.1
Expected Goals (xG)	1.25	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.50	1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 13, 2025 Brasileiro A3 Women

UD Alagoana W vs Doce Mel W

Possession: 45% - 55% Cards: 3 - 2

0:2

Jun 6, 2025 Brasileiro A3 Women

Doce Mel W vs UD Alagoana W

Possession: 41% - 46% Cards: 4 - 3

0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UD Alagoana W 47 / 100

Doce Mel W 34 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

UD Alagoana W Doce Mel W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: UD Alagoana W or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +19.6%

2.44

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +9.7%

1.59

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

UD Alagoana W attacking → ← attacking Doce Mel W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UD Alagoana W scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Doce Mel W let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

UD Alagoana W went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Doce Mel W lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

47 Points in last 5 33

1.25 Goals expected (xG) 1.00

2.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.75