Sport Picks

Stadium Background

UD Alagoana W vs Guarani de Paripueira W

Brazil Brazil

Alagoano Women
Mon, Oct 20, 2025
2 - 1
05:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

UD Alagoana W in this Alagoano Women tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
UD Alagoana W
22%
Draws
18%
Guarani de Paripueira W
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: UD Alagoana W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to UD Alagoana W lately — more wins on the board than Guarani de Paripueira W.
  • Model gives UD Alagoana W a 60% chance of winning this.
  • UD Alagoana W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor UD Alagoana W, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • UD Alagoana W have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 60.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 27%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
UD Alagoana W Clean Sheet 68%
Guarani de Paripueira W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UD Alagoana W Guarani de Paripueira W
Matches Played 31 25
Wins 16 8
Draws 2 1
Losses 13 16
Goals Scored 1.13 0.71
Goals Conceded 2.13 3.71
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.71
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 3.71

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 20, 2025 Alagoano Women
UD Alagoana W vs Guarani de Paripueira W
2:1
Sep 21, 2025 Alagoano Women
UD Alagoana W vs Guarani de Paripueira W
3:0
May 4, 2025 Brasileiro A3 Women
Guarani de Paripueira W vs UD Alagoana W
0:3
Nov 20, 2024 Alagoano Women
UD Alagoana W vs Guarani de Paripueira W
5:0
Sep 29, 2024 Alagoano Women
Guarani de Paripueira W vs UD Alagoana W
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UD Alagoana W 68 / 100
Guarani de Paripueira W 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UD Alagoana W Guarani de Paripueira W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UD Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Guarani de Paripueira W's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

UD Alagoana W's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Defensive concern: Guarani de Paripueira W conceded in 72% of 25 recent games.

Scoring Trends

UD Alagoana W VS Guarani de Paripueira W
1.13 Goals Scored 0.71
2.13 Goals Conceded 3.71
75% Over 1.5 71%
63% Over 2.5 71%
50% Over 3.5 71%

Recent Form & Match History

UD Alagoana W

(Home)
01 Jun
UD Alagoana W
0 : 2
Acao W
28 May
Ferroviaria W
8 : 0
UD Alagoana W
24 May
Paysandu PA W
2 : 1
UD Alagoana W
20 May
Itabirito W
3 : 0
UD Alagoana W
16 May
UD Alagoana W
2 : 1
Itacoatiara W
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Guarani de Paripueira W

(Away)
02 May
Juventude W
5 : 1
Guarani de Paripueira W
29 Apr
Guarani de Paripueira W
3 : 4
Sao Jose W
26 Apr
Guarani de Paripueira W
1 : 4
Prosperidade W
19 Apr
Guarani de Paripueira W
0 : 1
Alagoinhas W
05 Apr
Alagoinhas W
1 : 0
Guarani de Paripueira W
Page 1 of 5

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
UD Alagoana W3
CRB W0
Guarani de Paripueira W3
Independente Atalaia W0
Final
UD Alagoana W2
Guarani de Paripueira W1