Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera Division - Group 11 2014/2015

UD Alaro

3 - 0

Atletico Rafal

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

UD Alaro in this Tercera Division - Group 11 2014/2015 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored UD Alaro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%

UD Alaro

40%

Draws

29%

Atletico Rafal

Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence

Form's been kind to Atletico Rafal lately — more wins on the board than UD Alaro.
Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
Regular Tercera Division - Group 11 2014/2015 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%

UD Alaro Clean Sheet 20%

Atletico Rafal Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	UD Alaro	Atletico Rafal
Matches Played	32	30
Wins	3	4
Draws	7	9
Losses	22	17
Goals Scored	0.63	0
Goals Conceded	1.13	0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 2, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 11

UD Alaro vs Atletico Rafal

Possession: 42% - 48% Cards: 4 - 2

3:0

Nov 15, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 11

Atletico Rafal vs UD Alaro

Possession: 41% - 56% Cards: 1 - 2

4:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UD Alaro 32 / 100

Atletico Rafal 29 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

UD Alaro Atletico Rafal

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atletico Rafal has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Difficult form: Atletico Rafal registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

UD Alaro's goal record stands at 38% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Scoring Trends

UD Alaro VS -

0.63 Goals Scored 0

1.13 Goals Conceded 0

50% Over 1.5 0%

25% Over 2.5 0%

13% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Formentera	38	20	13	5	41:13	73
2	Llosetense	38	20	12	6	66:35	72
3	Pena Deportiva	38	21	9	8	57:40	72
4	Mercadal	38	19	10	9	64:32	67
5	Constancia	38	19	9	10	64:42	66
6	UD Poblense	38	18	12	8	64:37	66
7	Binissalem	38	17	15	6	63:33	66
8	Soller	38	13	14	11	52:54	53
9	Penya Ciutadella Esportiva	38	14	8	16	43:50	50
10	El Espinar Sant Rafel	38	12	12	14	45:43	48
11	CD Montuiri	38	12	9	17	49:58	45
12	Campos	38	10	13	15	34:44	43
13	Collerense	38	11	10	17	42:52	43
14	UD Alaro	38	10	12	16	44:55	42
15	Alcudia	38	9	15	14	32:52	42
16	Ferriolense	38	10	11	17	39:50	41
17	Platges de Calvia	38	7	20	11	32:41	41
18	CD Son Cladera	38	9	8	21	30:65	35
19	Manacor	38	6	13	19	36:65	31
20	Atletico Rafal	38	5	11	22	37:73	26