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UD Alaro vs Collerense

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Tercera Division - Group 11 2015/2016
UD Alaro Logo

UD Alaro

1 - 1
FT
Collerense Logo

Collerense

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera Division - Group 11 2015/2016 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
UD Alaro
15%
Draws
85%
Collerense
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Collerense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Collerense lately — more wins on the board than UD Alaro.
  • Model gives Collerense a 85% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
UD Alaro Clean Sheet 20%
Collerense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UD Alaro Collerense
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 2 6
Draws 7 9
Losses 21 17
Goals Scored 0.37 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.78
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 15, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Collerense vs UD Alaro
3:0
Jan 6, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
UD Alaro vs Collerense
1:1
Apr 26, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Collerense vs UD Alaro
1:0
Dec 6, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
UD Alaro vs Collerense
5:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UD Alaro 10 / 100
Collerense 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UD Alaro Collerense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Collerense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Collerense conceded in 81% of 32 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.25 goals when they meet.

Collerense's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

UD Alaro found the back of the net in 33% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

- VS Collerense
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

UD Alaro

(Home)
15 May
Collerense
3 : 0
UD Alaro
07 May
UD Alaro
0 : 4
Alcudia
29 Apr
UD Poblense
4 : 0
UD Alaro
24 Apr
UD Alaro
0 : 1
Mercadal
17 Apr
Formentera
3 : 0
UD Alaro
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Collerense

(Away)
29 Aug
Collerense
1 : 2
Santanyi
10 May
Pena Deportiva
2 : 0
Collerense
02 May
Collerense
2 : 1
Portmany
25 Apr
Rotlet Molinar
2 : 5
Collerense
19 Apr
Constancia
4 : 0
Collerense
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mallorca B 38 24 8 6 79:29 80
2 Formentera 38 23 9 6 69:29 78
3 Pena Deportiva 38 21 11 6 63:32 74
4 Constancia 38 17 14 7 58:30 65
5 UD Poblense 38 16 14 8 57:30 62
6 Alcudia 38 18 7 13 52:39 61
7 Mercadal 38 17 10 11 49:42 61
8 Binissalem 38 16 11 11 49:38 59
9 CD Montuiri 38 15 12 11 49:49 57
10 Collerense 38 16 7 15 52:51 55
11 El Espinar Sant Rafel 38 13 14 11 43:37 53
12 Ferriolense 38 11 12 15 36:42 45
13 Campos 38 10 14 14 47:59 44
14 Penya Ciutadella Esportiva 38 11 10 17 46:61 43
15 Esporles 38 11 7 20 35:56 40
16 Rotlet Molinar 38 9 11 18 42:70 38
17 Santa Catalina Atletico 38 9 10 19 33:52 37
18 Platges de Calvia 38 7 14 17 28:55 35
19 Soller 38 5 9 24 32:81 24
20 UD Alaro 38 4 10 24 18:55 22
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2015/2016 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2015/2016 (Main)