Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera Division - Group 18 2010/2011

Chozas de Canales

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

UD Almansa play Chozas de Canales in the Tercera Division - Group 18 2010/2011. UD Almansa are favorites here. Recently, UD Almansa averaged 1.46 goals scored and 1.41 conceded. Chozas de Canales averaged 0.8 goals scored and 1.97 conceded. In past meetings, UD Almansa won 2, Chozas de Canales won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 3, 2011 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.10 for UD Almansa and 1.25 for Chozas de Canales. This points to a UD Almansa double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%

UD Almansa

15%

Draws

20%

Chozas de Canales

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: UD Almansa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence

UD Almansa picked up more points recently compared to Chozas de Canales.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.10 vs 1.25 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 76%

Over 2.5 Goals 49%

Over 3.5 Goals 29%

Over 4.5 Goals 15%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 44%

UD Almansa Clean Sheet 19%

Chozas de Canales Clean Sheet 14%

First Half Goal 68%

Second Half Goal 72%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	UD Almansa	Chozas de Canales
Matches Played	39	30
Wins	19	6
Draws	6	4
Losses	14	20
Goals Scored	1.46	0.8
Goals Conceded	1.41	1.97

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 3, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 18

UD Almansa vs Chozas de Canales

Possession: 42% - 59% Cards: 2 - 2

2:0

Nov 21, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 18

Chozas de Canales vs UD Almansa

Possession: 43% - 43% Cards: 3 - 3

1:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UD Almansa 62 / 100

Chozas de Canales 21 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

UD Almansa Chozas de Canales

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UD Almansa Win (1)

Secondary Pick UD Almansa & Under 3.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +13.7%

1.75

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +14.2%

2.33

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

UD Almansa attacking → ← attacking Chozas de Canales

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UD Almansa scored in 74% of their last 39 games.

Chozas de Canales let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

UD Almansa went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Chozas de Canales lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

63 Points in last 5 22

1.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Toledo	38	26	10	2	75:18	88
2	Albacete B	38	22	9	7	72:31	75
3	La Roda	38	21	12	5	69:30	75
4	UD Almansa	38	20	12	6	54:25	72
5	Villarrubia	38	20	11	7	59:32	71
6	Illescas	38	20	9	9	62:37	69
7	Azuqueca	38	20	8	10	70:39	68
8	Marchamalo	38	17	9	12	54:45	60
9	La Gineta	38	15	9	14	47:51	54
10	Quintanar del Rey	38	12	16	10	39:49	52
11	Socuellamos	38	15	6	17	51:51	51
12	Tomelloso	38	13	9	16	49:55	48
13	Manzanares	38	12	8	18	41:51	44
14	Villarrobledo	38	11	10	17	43:49	43
15	Torrijos	38	11	7	20	36:50	40
16	CD Carranque	38	10	9	19	34:58	39
17	Hellin Deportivo	38	9	11	18	36:55	38
18	Chozas de Canales	38	9	7	22	31:66	34
19	Piedrabuena	38	3	8	27	34:95	17
20	CD Union Criptanense	38	2	4	32	16:85	10