Sport Picks
UD Aretxabaleta vs Pasaia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 4 
AI Match Summary
UD Aretxabaleta host Pasaia in the Tercera RFEF - Group 4. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Recent numbers: UD Aretxabaleta at 1.48 goals for, 1.76 against; Pasaia at 0.94 for, 1.5 against. Past meetings favor UD Aretxabaleta slightly — 3-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 15, 2026, ending 3:2. The numbers (1.56 xG vs 1.06) point toward UD Aretxabaleta. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- UD Aretxabaleta carry the better recent record into this one.
- 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | UD Aretxabaleta | Pasaia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 34 |
| Wins | 11 | 10 |
| Draws | 5 | 9 |
| Losses | 13 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.48 | 0.94 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.76 | 1.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.
UD Aretxabaleta scored in 76% of their last 29 games.
Pasaia let in goals in 74% of their last 34 matches.
UD Aretxabaleta has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
UD Aretxabaleta
(Home)Pasaia
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aurrera de Vitoria | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 10:4 | 13 |
| 2 | Derio | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 8:3 | 12 |
| 3 | Pasaia | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7:6 | 10 |
| 4 | Leioa | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 12:6 | 9 |
| 5 | Real Sociedad C | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10:8 | 8 |
| 6 | San Ignacio | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10:8 | 8 |
| 7 | Touring KE | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:6 | 8 |
| 8 | UD Aretxabaleta | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4:3 | 8 |
| 9 | Sodupe | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5:9 | 8 |
| 10 | Alaves C | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 11:6 | 7 |
| 11 | SCD Durango | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 9:9 | 7 |
| 12 | Lagun Onak | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4:5 | 7 |
| 13 | SD Erandio | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6:6 | 6 |
| 14 | Eibar C | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9:10 | 5 |
| 15 | Real Union B | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7:11 | 5 |
| 16 | Beasain | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3:6 | 4 |
| 17 | Santurtzi | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2:7 | 3 |
| 18 | Amurrio Club | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1:12 | 1 |
