Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera Division - Group 4 2009/2010

Salvatierra

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

UD Aretxabaleta play Salvatierra in the Tercera Division - Group 4 2009/2010. UD Aretxabaleta are favorites here. Recently, UD Aretxabaleta averaged 2 goals scored and 2.13 conceded. Salvatierra averaged 0 goals scored and 0 conceded. In past meetings, UD Aretxabaleta won 0, Salvatierra won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 8, 2010 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.60 for UD Aretxabaleta and 1.56 for Salvatierra. This points to a UD Aretxabaleta double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%

UD Aretxabaleta

28%

Draws

22%

Salvatierra

Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: UD Aretxabaleta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence

UD Aretxabaleta has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Salvatierra.
Model forecasts a 50% win probability edge for UD Aretxabaleta.
League standings and seasonal metrics in Tercera Division - Group 4 2009/2010 provide steady trend data.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 25%

Over 4.5 Goals 11%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%

UD Aretxabaleta Clean Sheet 15%

Salvatierra Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	UD Aretxabaleta	Salvatierra
Matches Played	32	30
Wins	11	1
Draws	6	4
Losses	15	25
Goals Scored	2	0
Goals Conceded	2.13	0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 8, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 4

UD Aretxabaleta vs Salvatierra

Possession: 42% - 59% Cards: 2 - 4

0:0

Dec 27, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 4

Salvatierra vs UD Aretxabaleta

Possession: 44% - 55% Cards: 2 - 4

3:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UD Aretxabaleta 48 / 100

Salvatierra 22 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

UD Aretxabaleta Salvatierra

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UD Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UD Aretxabaleta scored in 75% of their last 32 games.

Salvatierra let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

UD Aretxabaleta went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Salvatierra lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

UD Aretxabaleta VS -

2 Goals Scored 0

2.13 Goals Conceded 0

100% Over 1.5 0%

63% Over 2.5 0%

50% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Real Sociedad B	38	21	12	5	68:23	75
2	Portugalete	38	19	12	7	65:31	69
3	Amorebieta	38	19	11	8	58:34	68
4	Elgoibar	38	19	8	11	40:29	65
5	Gernika Club	38	17	12	9	54:38	63
6	Beasain	38	18	9	11	58:35	63
7	SCD Durango	38	15	14	9	56:44	59
8	Amurrio Club	38	14	15	9	53:42	57
9	Zamudio	38	16	8	14	47:44	56
10	Baskonia	38	13	13	12	53:56	52
11	Laudio	38	12	13	13	31:31	49
12	Santurtzi	38	11	15	12	45:40	48
13	Zalla UC	38	13	8	17	38:47	47
14	Eibar B	38	12	10	16	46:57	46
15	Arenas Getxo	38	11	13	14	29:41	46
16	Leioa	38	13	6	19	45:59	45
17	Lagun Onak	38	11	10	17	33:42	43
18	UD Aretxabaleta	38	10	11	17	33:58	41
19	Retuerto Sport	38	5	11	22	31:74	26
20	Salvatierra	38	2	7	29	22:80	13