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Stadium Background

UD Aretxabaleta vs San Viator

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

46' Event
Aizpurua J.
65' Event
Ruiz I.
85' Event
Lopez Lapena U.

AI Match Summary

UD Aretxabaleta in this Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored UD Aretxabaleta.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
UD Aretxabaleta
20%
Draws
0%
San Viator
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: UD Aretxabaleta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • UD Aretxabaleta have won more games recently than San Viator.
  • Model gives UD Aretxabaleta a 80% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
UD Aretxabaleta Clean Sheet 68%
San Viator Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UD Aretxabaleta San Viator
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 1
Draws 5 4
Losses 14 25
Goals Scored 1.5 0.6
Goals Conceded 1.8 2.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 19, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
UD Aretxabaleta vs San Viator
2:1
Sep 7, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
San Viator vs UD Aretxabaleta
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

UD Aretxabaleta Compare

Top Goalscorer Aizpurua J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lopez Lapena U.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.74

San Viator Compare

Top Goalscorer Ruiz I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UD Aretxabaleta 95 / 100
San Viator 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UD Aretxabaleta San Viator

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UD Aretxabaleta Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

San Viator has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.

San Viator lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: UD Aretxabaleta scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

UD Aretxabaleta VS -
1.75 Goals Scored 0
2.25 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

UD Aretxabaleta

(Home)
26 Sept
UD Aretxabaleta
1 : 2
Derio
19 Sept
SCD Durango
0 : 0
UD Aretxabaleta
13 Sept
UD Aretxabaleta
0 : 0
Beasain
05 Sept
Touring KE
0 : 1
UD Aretxabaleta
22 Aug
UD Aretxabaleta
3 : 0
Mirandes B
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San Viator

(Away)
11 May
Padura
3 : 0
San Viator
03 May
San Viator
1 : 5
Portugalete
26 Apr
Eibar C
4 : 1
San Viator
17 Apr
San Viator
2 : 3
Touring KE
12 Apr
SD Deusto
2 : 1
San Viator
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Basconia 34 23 7 4 89:32 76
2 Portugalete 34 19 13 2 66:29 70
3 Leioa 34 20 6 8 55:34 66
4 Beasain 34 19 7 8 53:34 64
5 SD Deusto 34 15 9 10 43:35 54
6 Alaves C 34 14 6 14 41:41 48
7 Touring KE 34 13 9 12 39:45 48
8 Derio 34 12 11 11 39:39 47
9 Eibar C 34 12 10 12 46:51 46
10 UD Aretxabaleta 34 12 8 14 40:45 44
11 Lagun Onak 34 11 9 14 44:49 42
12 San Ignacio 34 11 9 14 32:41 42
13 SCD Durango 34 9 13 12 43:37 40
14 Pasaia 34 10 9 15 45:60 39
15 Santurtzi 34 8 14 12 46:43 38
16 Urduliz FT 34 9 9 16 37:56 36
17 Padura 34 7 8 19 31:48 29
18 San Viator 34 1 5 28 21:91 8
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2024/2025 (Play Offs)