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UD Badajoz vs Alzira Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2012/2013
Sun, Jun 16, 2013
1 - 1
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2012/2013 tie, finishing 1-1. Extra time or penalties follow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
UD Badajoz
20%
Draws
23%
Alzira
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: UD Badajoz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • UD Badajoz have won more games recently than Alzira.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on UD Badajoz taking it.
  • UD Badajoz have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
UD Badajoz Clean Sheet 20%
Alzira Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UD Badajoz Alzira
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 21 6
Draws 5 9
Losses 4 15
Goals Scored 2 1
Goals Conceded 0.5 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 16, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Promotion Play Offs
UD Badajoz vs Alzira
1:1
Jun 9, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Promotion Play Offs
Alzira vs UD Badajoz
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UD Badajoz 85 / 100
Alzira 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UD Badajoz Alzira

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UD Badajoz Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: UD Badajoz scored in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Alzira conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Recent resilience: UD Badajoz stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Alzira
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

UD Badajoz

(Home)
25 May
Haro Deportivo
2 : 1
UD Badajoz
18 May
UD Badajoz
1 : 1
Haro Deportivo
11 May
Diter Zafra
1 : 2
UD Badajoz
04 May
UD Badajoz
2 : 0
Don Benito
01 May
UP Plasencia
0 : 2
UD Badajoz
Page 1 of 6

Alzira

(Away)
09 May
CD Bunol
1 : 0
Alzira
02 May
Alzira
2 : 2
Utiel
26 Apr
Vall de Uxo
1 : 0
Alzira
19 Apr
Atletico Saguntino
1 : 0
Alzira
11 Apr
Alzira
1 : 0
Espanol de San Vicente
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Deportivo Fabril 4
Cornella 3
TBD -
Tuilla -
Futbol Club Jumilla 3
Andorra CF 2
TBD -
El Palo -
Portugalete 3
Alzira 4
CD Laredo 0
UD Badajoz 2
Union Adarve 2
Alfaro 0
TBD -
CD Tropezon -
Trival Valderas 2
Granada CF B 4
Castellon 0
Cordoba B 2
Utebo FC 3
Dep. Rayo Cantabria (Inactive) 2
TBD -
Extremadura UD -
CE Europa 0
Arandina 3
TBD -
Pena Deportiva -
Mairena 1
Collado Villalba 1
TBD -
Olot -
Estrella 2
Racing Cartagena Mar Menor FC 3
TBD -
Haro Deportivo -
Varea 4
Novelda CF 3
TBD -
Laudio -
Compostela 6
Ebro 2
TBD -
AD San Juan -
Azuqueca 3
Iruna 0
Alcudia 2
Ciudad Cieza 2
Covadonga 0
Don Benito 5
Manlleu AEC 1
Conquense 3
Coria C.F. 1
CD Calahorra 1
Leioa 2
UD Poblense 4
Union Viera 2
Leonesa 5
Diter Zafra 1
Mancha 3
Gimnastica Segoviana 1
Atletico Granadilla 3
Malaga B 3
Universidad Oviedo 3
Cortes 0
Celta Vigo B 4
Langreo 1
Mutilvera 2
Cayon CD 3
Formentera 2
CF Talavera 0
Arenas Getxo 1
Semi-finals
Deportivo Fabril 3
Tuilla 2
Futbol Club Jumilla 2
El Palo 7
Alzira 2
UD Badajoz 1
Union Adarve 1
CD Tropezon 2
Granada CF B 2
Cordoba B 2
Utebo FC 2
Extremadura UD 3
Arandina 5
Pena Deportiva 4
Mairena 2
Olot 5
Racing Cartagena Mar Menor FC 4
Haro Deportivo 3
Varea 1
Laudio 3
Compostela 4
AD San Juan 1
Azuqueca 3
Ciudad Cieza 5
Don Benito 0
Conquense 1
Coria C.F. 2
UD Poblense 2
Leonesa 2
Mancha 2
Atletico Granadilla 2
Universidad Oviedo 4
Celta Vigo B 4
Mutilvera 2
Cayon CD 1
Arenas Getxo 2
Final
Deportivo Fabril 4
El Palo 4
Alzira 1
CD Tropezon 1
Granada CF B 2
Extremadura UD 2
Arandina 4
Olot 7
Racing Cartagena Mar Menor FC 0
Laudio 1
Compostela 4
Ciudad Cieza 0
Conquense 4
UD Poblense 1
Leonesa 3
Universidad Oviedo 2
Celta Vigo B 2
Arenas Getxo 2