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UD Badajoz vs Chinato Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera Division - Group 14 2011/2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 14 2011/2012 game between UD Badajoz and Chinato finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward UD Badajoz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
UD Badajoz
20%
Draws
23%
Chinato
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: UD Badajoz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • UD Badajoz carry the better recent record into this one.
  • UD Badajoz are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 14 2011/2012 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.4%
UD Badajoz Clean Sheet 20%
Chinato Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UD Badajoz Chinato
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 21 7
Draws 5 3
Losses 4 20
Goals Scored 2 0.97
Goals Conceded 0.5 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 0.74
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 28, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
UD Badajoz vs Chinato
4:0
Dec 6, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Chinato vs UD Badajoz
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UD Badajoz 85 / 100
Chinato 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UD Badajoz Chinato

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UD Badajoz Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: UD Badajoz scored in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Chinato let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

UD Badajoz went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Chinato
0 Goals Scored 0.38
0 Goals Conceded 2
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

UD Badajoz

(Home)
25 May
Haro Deportivo
2 : 1
UD Badajoz
18 May
UD Badajoz
1 : 1
Haro Deportivo
11 May
Diter Zafra
1 : 2
UD Badajoz
04 May
UD Badajoz
2 : 0
Don Benito
01 May
UP Plasencia
0 : 2
UD Badajoz
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Chinato

(Away)
20 Aug
Jaraiz
4 : 0
Chinato
30 May
AD Llerenense
5 : 2
Chinato
23 May
Chinato
4 : 1
Fuente de Cantos
16 May
Olivenza FC
1 : 0
Chinato
09 May
Chinato
0 : 0
RCP Valverdeno
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Arroyo 38 30 5 3 100:22 95
2 Diter Zafra 38 25 6 7 63:38 81
3 Extremadura UD 38 23 9 6 75:23 78
4 Don Benito 38 23 9 6 63:29 78
5 Jerez CF 38 20 9 9 56:34 69
6 Miajadas 38 15 11 12 52:52 56
7 UD Badajoz 38 14 11 13 53:49 53
8 Merida UD 38 14 11 13 42:43 53
9 CD Coria 38 13 11 14 49:55 50
10 UP Plasencia 38 12 9 17 41:62 45
11 Ciduad de Plasencia 38 10 15 13 45:46 45
12 Valdelacalzada 38 10 15 13 31:42 45
13 Santa Amalia 38 11 11 16 53:67 44
14 Hernan Cortes 38 10 12 16 28:39 42
15 Pueblonuevo 38 11 8 19 59:83 41
16 Moralo 38 10 10 18 32:43 40
17 Atletico San Jose Promesas 38 10 9 19 60:67 39
18 Sanvicenteno 38 9 9 20 45:77 36
19 SP Villafranca 38 6 11 21 45:74 29
20 Chinato 38 3 11 24 27:74 20
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)