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UD Badajoz vs Diter Zafra

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Tercera Division - Group 14 2012/2013
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 14 2012/2013 game between UD Badajoz and Diter Zafra finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
UD Badajoz
15%
Draws
0%
Diter Zafra
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: UD Badajoz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Diter Zafra haven't matched UD Badajoz's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans UD Badajoz's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 14 2012/2013 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
UD Badajoz Clean Sheet 20%
Diter Zafra Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UD Badajoz Diter Zafra
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 21 4
Draws 5 4
Losses 4 24
Goals Scored 2 0.88
Goals Conceded 0.5 2.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Diter Zafra vs UD Badajoz
1:2
Dec 21, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
UD Badajoz vs Diter Zafra
2:1
Mar 24, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
UD Badajoz vs Diter Zafra
1:1
Nov 4, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Diter Zafra vs UD Badajoz
2:1
Jan 15, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Diter Zafra vs UD Badajoz
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UD Badajoz 85 / 100
Diter Zafra 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UD Badajoz Diter Zafra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UD Badajoz Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UD Badajoz found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (30 games).

Diter Zafra's defensive record shows goals conceded in 84% of 32 matches.

Diter Zafra's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Scoring Trends

- VS Diter Zafra
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.88
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

UD Badajoz

(Home)
25 May
Haro Deportivo
2 : 1
UD Badajoz
18 May
UD Badajoz
1 : 1
Haro Deportivo
11 May
Diter Zafra
1 : 2
UD Badajoz
04 May
UD Badajoz
2 : 0
Don Benito
01 May
UP Plasencia
0 : 2
UD Badajoz
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Diter Zafra

(Away)
12 May
Extremadura UD B
6 : 2
Diter Zafra
07 May
Diter Zafra
1 : 3
Don Benito
30 Apr
Santa Amalia
2 : 1
Diter Zafra
23 Apr
Fuente de Cantos
4 : 0
Diter Zafra
13 Apr
Diter Zafra
3 : 4
UP Plasencia
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Extremadura UD 38 27 8 3 75:14 89
2 UD Badajoz 38 24 8 6 67:24 80
3 Don Benito 38 23 10 5 55:23 79
4 Diter Zafra 38 22 11 5 57:23 77
5 Jerez CF 38 16 11 11 51:37 59
6 Merida UD 38 15 11 12 47:38 56
7 Ciduad de Plasencia 38 15 10 13 50:38 55
8 UP Plasencia 38 15 10 13 55:47 55
9 Santa Amalia 38 15 8 15 52:54 53
10 CD Coria 38 14 9 15 47:48 51
11 Atletico San Jose Promesas 38 14 6 18 44:58 48
12 Pueblonuevo 38 11 10 17 41:60 43
13 Miajadas 38 12 7 19 40:56 43
14 RCP Valverdeno 38 11 9 18 40:56 42
15 Hernan Cortes 38 11 8 19 36:64 41
16 Cacereno II 38 10 10 18 48:57 40
17 Fuente de Cantos 38 10 9 19 42:68 39
18 Moralo 38 7 17 14 33:52 38
19 Emerita Augusta 38 8 7 23 44:77 31
20 Valdelacalzada 38 7 7 24 35:65 28
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)