Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera Division - Group 14 2012/2013

UD Badajoz

1 - 0

Santa Amalia

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

UD Badajoz in this Tercera Division - Group 14 2012/2013 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored UD Badajoz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

UD Badajoz

Draws

Santa Amalia

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: UD Badajoz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Form's been kind to UD Badajoz lately — more wins on the board than Santa Amalia.
90% — that's where the model lands on UD Badajoz taking it.
Regular Tercera Division - Group 14 2012/2013 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
These two have met 5 times recently and UD Badajoz have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%

UD Badajoz Clean Sheet 20%

Santa Amalia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	UD Badajoz	Santa Amalia
Matches Played	31	37
Wins	22	10
Draws	5	8
Losses	4	19
Goals Scored	0	1
Goals Conceded	0	1.5

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 16, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 14

Santa Amalia vs UD Badajoz

Possession: 55% - 48% Cards: 3 - 3

0:2

Oct 6, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 14

UD Badajoz vs Santa Amalia

Possession: 48% - 48% Cards: 1 - 4

2:0

May 12, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 14

UD Badajoz vs Santa Amalia

Possession: 52% - 52% Cards: 2 - 2

1:0

Dec 22, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 14

Santa Amalia vs UD Badajoz

Possession: 44% - 53% Cards: 1 - 0

3:1

Apr 5, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 14

Santa Amalia vs UD Badajoz

Possession: 53% - 59% Cards: 1 - 1

0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UD Badajoz 85 / 100

Santa Amalia 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

UD Badajoz Santa Amalia

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAD Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: UD Badajoz scored in 87% of their last 31 outings.

Santa Amalia has conceded goals in 81% of their last 37 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

UD Badajoz went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Santa Amalia

0 Goals Scored 1

0 Goals Conceded 1.5

0% Over 1.5 63%

0% Over 2.5 50%

0% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Extremadura UD	38	27	8	3	75:14	89
2	UD Badajoz	38	24	8	6	67:24	80
3	Don Benito	38	23	10	5	55:23	79
4	Diter Zafra	38	22	11	5	57:23	77
5	Jerez CF	38	16	11	11	51:37	59
6	Merida UD	38	15	11	12	47:38	56
7	Ciduad de Plasencia	38	15	10	13	50:38	55
8	UP Plasencia	38	15	10	13	55:47	55
9	Santa Amalia	38	15	8	15	52:54	53
10	CD Coria	38	14	9	15	47:48	51
11	Atletico San Jose Promesas	38	14	6	18	44:58	48
12	Pueblonuevo	38	11	10	17	41:60	43
13	Miajadas	38	12	7	19	40:56	43
14	RCP Valverdeno	38	11	9	18	40:56	42
15	Hernan Cortes	38	11	8	19	36:64	41
16	Cacereno II	38	10	10	18	48:57	40
17	Fuente de Cantos	38	10	9	19	42:68	39
18	Moralo	38	7	17	14	33:52	38
19	Emerita Augusta	38	8	7	23	44:77	31
20	Valdelacalzada	38	7	7	24	35:65	28