Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera Division - Group 9 2010/2011

Alhaurin

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

UD Carboneras play Alhaurin in the Tercera Division - Group 9 2010/2011. Alhaurin are favorites here. Recently, UD Carboneras averaged 0.06 goals scored and 2.9 conceded. Alhaurin averaged 0.94 goals scored and 1.44 conceded. In past meetings, UD Carboneras won 0, Alhaurin won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on Feb 12, 2012 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.48 for UD Carboneras and 0.93 for Alhaurin. This points to a Alhaurin double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%

UD Carboneras

15%

Draws

69%

Alhaurin

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Alhaurin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

UD Carboneras picked up more points recently compared to Alhaurin.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.48 vs 0.93 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 72%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 83%

Over 2.5 Goals 72%

Over 3.5 Goals 43%

Over 4.5 Goals 22%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 21%

UD Carboneras Clean Sheet 24%

Alhaurin Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 75%

Second Half Goal 79%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	UD Carboneras	Alhaurin
Matches Played	31	36
Wins	1	12
Draws	0	7
Losses	30	17
Goals Scored	0.06	0.94
Goals Conceded	2.9	1.44

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 12, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 9

Alhaurin vs UD Carboneras

Possession: 55% - 41% Cards: 4 - 3

3:0

Sep 24, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 9

UD Carboneras vs Alhaurin

Possession: 60% - 58% Cards: 1 - 1

1:2

Jan 23, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 9

UD Carboneras vs Alhaurin

Possession: 47% - 51% Cards: 3 - 3

1:3

Sep 12, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 9

Alhaurin vs UD Carboneras

Possession: 41% - 51% Cards: 2 - 1

0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UD Carboneras 19 / 100

Alhaurin 64 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

UD Carboneras Alhaurin

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alhaurin Win (2)

Secondary Pick Alhaurin & Over 2.5

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +100%

12.50

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +9.4%

1.52

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

UD Carboneras attacking → ← attacking Alhaurin

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UD Carboneras scored in 3% of their last 31 games.

Alhaurin let in goals in 64% of their last 36 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

UD Carboneras went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Alhaurin lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

3 Points in last 5 43

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.75

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.75

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Comarca	38	23	10	5	57:29	79
2	Alhaurin	38	22	12	4	58:23	78
3	Loja	38	21	11	6	61:35	74
4	Malaga B	38	20	10	8	62:35	70
5	CD Ronda	38	19	11	8	68:37	68
6	Maracena	38	17	12	9	51:37	63
7	Antequera	38	18	8	12	72:47	62
8	Motril	38	15	13	10	50:33	58
9	Marbella	38	16	8	14	58:46	56
10	Martos	38	14	11	13	38:40	53
11	Mancha	38	11	16	11	49:42	49
12	Huetor Tajar	38	12	10	16	36:51	46
13	El Palo	38	13	7	18	57:65	46
14	Ciudad de Vicar	38	11	12	15	46:55	45
15	Velez	38	11	11	16	56:57	44
16	UD Carboneras	38	10	10	18	57:71	40
17	Melilla B	38	7	13	18	40:71	34
18	CD Baza	38	8	10	20	29:58	34
19	CD Alhaurino	38	7	9	22	38:58	30
20	Adra	38	0	6	32	13:106	6