Sport Picks

Stadium Background

UD Carboneras vs Marbella

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 9 2010/2011
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

UD Carboneras in this Tercera Division - Group 9 2010/2011 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored UD Carboneras.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
UD Carboneras
20%
Draws
80%
Marbella
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Marbella

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Marbella have won more games recently than UD Carboneras.
  • Marbella are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 9 2010/2011 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Marbella have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 59%
UD Carboneras Clean Sheet 19%
Marbella Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UD Carboneras Marbella
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 0 9
Draws 0 4
Losses 30 17
Goals Scored 0 1.3
Goals Conceded 3 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 6, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Marbella vs UD Carboneras
3:0
Dec 18, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
UD Carboneras vs Marbella
0:3
Feb 19, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
UD Carboneras vs Marbella
1:0
Oct 9, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Marbella vs UD Carboneras
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UD Carboneras 10 / 100
Marbella 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UD Carboneras Marbella

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Marbella Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Marbella has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: UD Carboneras scored in 0% of their last 30 outings.

Marbella's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Marbella
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

UD Carboneras

(Home)
06 May
Marbella
3 : 0
UD Carboneras
01 May
UD Carboneras
0 : 3
Comarca
22 Apr
UD Carboneras
0 : 3
Ciudad de Vicar
15 Apr
CD Nerja
3 : 0
UD Carboneras
08 Apr
UD Carboneras
0 : 3
Arenas Armilla
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Marbella

(Away)
27 Sept
Puente Genil
0 : 0
Marbella
20 Sept
Marbella
4 : 1
Atletico Central
13 Sept
Sevilla B
3 : 0
Marbella
06 Sept
Marbella
2 : 2
Sanluqueno
29 Aug
Torre del Mar
4 : 0
Marbella
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Comarca 38 23 10 5 57:29 79
2 Alhaurin 38 22 12 4 58:23 78
3 Loja 38 21 11 6 61:35 74
4 Malaga B 38 20 10 8 62:35 70
5 CD Ronda 38 19 11 8 68:37 68
6 Maracena 38 17 12 9 51:37 63
7 Antequera 38 18 8 12 72:47 62
8 Motril 38 15 13 10 50:33 58
9 Marbella 38 16 8 14 58:46 56
10 Martos 38 14 11 13 38:40 53
11 Mancha 38 11 16 11 49:42 49
12 Huetor Tajar 38 12 10 16 36:51 46
13 El Palo 38 13 7 18 57:65 46
14 Ciudad de Vicar 38 11 12 15 46:55 45
15 Velez 38 11 11 16 56:57 44
16 UD Carboneras 38 10 10 18 57:71 40
17 Melilla B 38 7 13 18 40:71 34
18 CD Baza 38 8 10 20 29:58 34
19 CD Alhaurino 38 7 9 22 38:58 30
20 Adra 38 0 6 32 13:106 6
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)