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UD Carboneras vs Melilla B Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera Division - Group 9 2010/2011
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 9 2010/2011 game between UD Carboneras and Melilla B finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
UD Carboneras
15%
Draws
85%
Melilla B
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Melilla B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Melilla B carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Melilla B a 85% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 59%
UD Carboneras Clean Sheet 20%
Melilla B Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UD Carboneras Melilla B
Matches Played 32 38
Wins 2 15
Draws 0 10
Losses 30 13
Goals Scored 0.16 1.21
Goals Conceded 2.81 0.89
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 1, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Melilla B vs UD Carboneras
3:0
Nov 6, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
UD Carboneras vs Melilla B
0:3
Apr 24, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
UD Carboneras vs Melilla B
1:1
Dec 5, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Melilla B vs UD Carboneras
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UD Carboneras 10 / 100
Melilla B 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UD Carboneras Melilla B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Melilla B Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Melilla B conceded in 61% of 38 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Away concern: Melilla B has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

UD Carboneras's goal record stands at 6% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Melilla B
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

UD Carboneras

(Home)
06 May
Marbella
3 : 0
UD Carboneras
01 May
UD Carboneras
0 : 3
Comarca
22 Apr
UD Carboneras
0 : 3
Ciudad de Vicar
15 Apr
CD Nerja
3 : 0
UD Carboneras
08 Apr
UD Carboneras
0 : 3
Arenas Armilla
Page 1 of 7

Melilla B

(Away)
10 May
Huetor Tajar
3 : 1
Melilla B
06 May
Melilla B
0 : 0
Motril
25 Apr
Melilla B
5 : 1
Martos
19 Apr
Mijas Las Lagunas
4 : 1
Melilla B
11 Apr
Melilla B
0 : 1
Marbelli
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Comarca 38 23 10 5 57:29 79
2 Alhaurin 38 22 12 4 58:23 78
3 Loja 38 21 11 6 61:35 74
4 Malaga B 38 20 10 8 62:35 70
5 CD Ronda 38 19 11 8 68:37 68
6 Maracena 38 17 12 9 51:37 63
7 Antequera 38 18 8 12 72:47 62
8 Motril 38 15 13 10 50:33 58
9 Marbella 38 16 8 14 58:46 56
10 Martos 38 14 11 13 38:40 53
11 Mancha 38 11 16 11 49:42 49
12 Huetor Tajar 38 12 10 16 36:51 46
13 El Palo 38 13 7 18 57:65 46
14 Ciudad de Vicar 38 11 12 15 46:55 45
15 Velez 38 11 11 16 56:57 44
16 UD Carboneras 38 10 10 18 57:71 40
17 Melilla B 38 7 13 18 40:71 34
18 CD Baza 38 8 10 20 29:58 34
19 CD Alhaurino 38 7 9 22 38:58 30
20 Adra 38 0 6 32 13:106 6
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)