Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera Division - Group 18 2016/2017

UD Carrion

2 - 4

Illescas

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 18 2016/2017 game between UD Carrion and Illescas finished 2-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Illescas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%

UD Carrion

17%

Draws

70%

Illescas

Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Illescas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence

Look at the last few games and Illescas come out ahead of UD Carrion on wins alone.
Illescas are the model's pick here, at 70%.
Regular Tercera Division - Group 18 2016/2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 0%

Over 4.5 Goals 0%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%

UD Carrion Clean Sheet 20%

Illescas Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	UD Carrion	Illescas
Matches Played	30	31
Wins	4	8
Draws	7	10
Losses	19	13
Goals Scored	0	0.25
Goals Conceded	0	1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 4, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 18

UD Carrion vs Illescas

Possession: 40% - 56% Cards: 2 - 0

2:4

Oct 12, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 18

Illescas vs UD Carrion

Possession: 47% - 47% Cards: 2 - 1

1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UD Carrion 16 / 100

Illescas 65 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

UD Carrion Illescas

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ILL Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

UD Carrion found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Illescas conceded in 65% of 31 recent games.

Solid form: UD Carrion remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Illescas

0 Goals Scored 0.25

0 Goals Conceded 1.13

0% Over 1.5 38%

0% Over 2.5 13%

0% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	CF Talavera	38	25	8	5	89:37	83
2	Conquense	38	23	6	9	74:43	75
3	Villarrobledo	38	19	13	6	75:42	70
4	Guadalajara	38	21	7	10	64:43	70
5	Villarrubia	38	20	7	11	61:38	67
6	UD Almansa	38	18	9	11	68:54	63
7	Manchego Ciudad Real	38	17	11	10	53:40	62
8	Quintanar del Rey	38	13	13	12	61:52	52
9	Azuqueca	38	15	7	16	67:57	52
10	Madridejos	38	14	9	15	43:53	51
11	Marchamalo	38	14	8	16	43:49	50
12	Almagro	38	13	10	15	44:52	49
13	Tomelloso	38	14	6	18	46:53	48
14	Mora CF	38	13	7	18	46:66	46
15	Albacete B	38	11	12	15	49:56	45
16	CD Pedroneras	38	10	15	13	46:45	45
17	Toledo 2	38	12	8	18	47:61	44
18	Illescas	38	12	3	23	56:82	39
19	UD Carrion	38	6	8	24	37:90	26
20	CD Yuncos	38	3	7	28	24:80	16