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UD Casetas vs Calamocha Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

65' Event
Onyo C.
84' Event
Torcal Guiu D.

AI Match Summary

Calamocha in this Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Calamocha.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
UD Casetas
20%
Draws
34%
Calamocha
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: UD Casetas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Calamocha lately — more wins on the board than UD Casetas.
  • Win probability leans UD Casetas's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Calamocha here — 4 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
UD Casetas Clean Sheet 68%
Calamocha Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UD Casetas Calamocha
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 19
Draws 11 5
Losses 13 6
Goals Scored 1.3 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.8 0.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
UD Casetas vs Calamocha
0:2
Nov 9, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Calamocha vs UD Casetas
3:0
Jan 6, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
UD Casetas vs Calamocha
0:3
Aug 26, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Calamocha vs UD Casetas
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

UD Casetas Compare

Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Calamocha Compare

Top Goalscorer Onyo C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Torcal Guiu D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UD Casetas 77 / 100
Calamocha 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UD Casetas Calamocha

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UD Casetas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UD Casetas found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

These sides typically produce 2.25 goals when they meet.

UD Casetas has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Away concern: Calamocha has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

UD Casetas VS Calamocha
2.25 Goals Scored 0.75
2.25 Goals Conceded 0.38
100% Over 1.5 25%
63% Over 2.5 13%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

UD Casetas

(Home)
08 Aug
Utebo FC
4 : 1
UD Casetas
10 May
CD Belchite 97
1 : 1
UD Casetas
03 May
UD Casetas
2 : 0
Andorra CF
26 Apr
Utrillas
3 : 3
UD Casetas
19 Apr
UD Casetas
5 : 1
Tamarite
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Calamocha

(Away)
27 Sept
Calamocha
0 : 3
Tudelano
20 Sept
Calamocha
3 : 2
UD Logrones B
13 Sept
Espanyol B
5 : 0
Calamocha
06 Sept
Calamocha
0 : 1
Terrassa
10 May
CD Carinena
0 : 1
Calamocha
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Calamocha 34 23 6 5 49:22 75
2 CD Cuarte 34 20 14 0 43:12 74
3 Atletico Monzon 34 23 4 7 73:37 73
4 Epila 34 19 10 5 39:20 67
5 CD Caspe 34 13 14 7 38:26 53
6 Huesca B 34 14 10 10 52:33 52
7 Binefar 34 14 6 14 58:47 48
8 La Almunia 34 11 14 9 42:38 47
9 Almudevar 34 12 8 14 34:39 44
10 Tamarite 34 10 11 13 41:47 41
11 Andorra CF 34 10 9 15 35:45 39
12 CF Illueca 34 9 11 14 35:51 38
13 Robres 34 10 6 18 38:49 36
14 CD Belchite 97 34 7 11 16 28:43 32
15 CD Carinena 34 5 16 13 35:46 31
16 UD Casetas 34 6 12 16 40:56 30
17 Utrillas 34 5 14 15 36:57 29
18 Zuera 34 2 10 22 17:65 16
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2025/2026 (Play Offs)