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UD Casetas vs Epila

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Alvarez J.
70' Event
Gonzalvo H.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2025/2026 game between UD Casetas and Epila finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Epila.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
UD Casetas
30%
Draws
33%
Epila
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: UD Casetas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Epila carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
UD Casetas Clean Sheet 13%
Epila Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UD Casetas Epila
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 6 18
Draws 11 7
Losses 13 4
Goals Scored 1.3 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.8 0.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 18, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
UD Casetas vs Epila
0:2
Sep 7, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Epila vs UD Casetas
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

UD Casetas Compare

Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Epila Compare

Top Goalscorer Alvarez J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gonzalvo H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UD Casetas 35 / 100
Epila 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UD Casetas Epila

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Epila Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: UD Casetas scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

UD Casetas went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Epila's defensive record shows goals conceded in 34% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

UD Casetas VS Epila
2.25 Goals Scored 1.13
2.25 Goals Conceded 0.38
100% Over 1.5 38%
63% Over 2.5 13%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

UD Casetas

(Home)
08 Aug
Utebo FC
4 : 1
UD Casetas
10 May
CD Belchite 97
1 : 1
UD Casetas
03 May
UD Casetas
2 : 0
Andorra CF
26 Apr
Utrillas
3 : 3
UD Casetas
19 Apr
UD Casetas
5 : 1
Tamarite
Page 1 of 6

Epila

(Away)
20 Sept
Tamarite
1 : 2
Epila
12 Sept
Epila
0 : 0
Andorra CF
06 Sept
CD Sietamo
0 : 2
Epila
24 May
Atletico Monzon
1 : 0
Epila
16 May
Epila
0 : 1
Atletico Monzon
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Calamocha 34 23 6 5 49:22 75
2 CD Cuarte 34 20 14 0 43:12 74
3 Atletico Monzon 34 23 4 7 73:37 73
4 Epila 34 19 10 5 39:20 67
5 CD Caspe 34 13 14 7 38:26 53
6 Huesca B 34 14 10 10 52:33 52
7 Binefar 34 14 6 14 58:47 48
8 La Almunia 34 11 14 9 42:38 47
9 Almudevar 34 12 8 14 34:39 44
10 Tamarite 34 10 11 13 41:47 41
11 Andorra CF 34 10 9 15 35:45 39
12 CF Illueca 34 9 11 14 35:51 38
13 Robres 34 10 6 18 38:49 36
14 CD Belchite 97 34 7 11 16 28:43 32
15 CD Carinena 34 5 16 13 35:46 31
16 UD Casetas 34 6 12 16 40:56 30
17 Utrillas 34 5 14 15 36:57 29
18 Zuera 34 2 10 22 17:65 16
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2025/2026 (Play Offs)