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Stadium Background

UD Casetas vs Tamarite

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Izquierdo Vela A.
12' Event
Izquierdo Vela A.
59' Event
Rivas D.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2025/2026 game between UD Casetas and Tamarite finished 5-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward UD Casetas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
UD Casetas
20%
Draws
34%
Tamarite
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: UD Casetas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Tamarite carry the better recent record into this one.
  • UD Casetas are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Tamarite have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
UD Casetas Clean Sheet 16%
Tamarite Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UD Casetas Tamarite
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 6 9
Draws 11 9
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1.3 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.8 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
UD Casetas vs Tamarite
5:1
Dec 14, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Tamarite vs UD Casetas
3:1
Feb 3, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
UD Casetas vs Tamarite
0:1
Sep 23, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Tamarite vs UD Casetas
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

UD Casetas Compare

Top Goalscorer Izquierdo Vela A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Rivas D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Tamarite Compare

Top Goalscorer Chipi
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UD Casetas 36 / 100
Tamarite 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UD Casetas Tamarite

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Tamarite conceded in 93% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: UD Casetas scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: UD Casetas remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

UD Casetas VS Tamarite
2.13 Goals Scored 0.88
2 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

UD Casetas

(Home)
08 Aug
Utebo FC
4 : 1
UD Casetas
10 May
CD Belchite 97
1 : 1
UD Casetas
03 May
UD Casetas
2 : 0
Andorra CF
26 Apr
Utrillas
3 : 3
UD Casetas
19 Apr
UD Casetas
5 : 1
Tamarite
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Tamarite

(Away)
20 Sept
Tamarite
1 : 2
Epila
13 Sept
Binefar
2 : 3
Tamarite
05 Sept
Tamarite
1 : 2
Zaragoza B
10 May
Tamarite
0 : 1
CF Illueca
03 May
CD Caspe
1 : 2
Tamarite
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Calamocha 34 23 6 5 49:22 75
2 CD Cuarte 34 20 14 0 43:12 74
3 Atletico Monzon 34 23 4 7 73:37 73
4 Epila 34 19 10 5 39:20 67
5 CD Caspe 34 13 14 7 38:26 53
6 Huesca B 34 14 10 10 52:33 52
7 Binefar 34 14 6 14 58:47 48
8 La Almunia 34 11 14 9 42:38 47
9 Almudevar 34 12 8 14 34:39 44
10 Tamarite 34 10 11 13 41:47 41
11 Andorra CF 34 10 9 15 35:45 39
12 CF Illueca 34 9 11 14 35:51 38
13 Robres 34 10 6 18 38:49 36
14 CD Belchite 97 34 7 11 16 28:43 32
15 CD Carinena 34 5 16 13 35:46 31
16 UD Casetas 34 6 12 16 40:56 30
17 Utrillas 34 5 14 15 36:57 29
18 Zuera 34 2 10 22 17:65 16
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2025/2026 (Play Offs)