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UD Casetas vs Utrillas Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2025/2026
UD Casetas Logo

UD Casetas

0 - 0
FT
Utrillas Logo

Utrillas

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2025/2026 game between UD Casetas and Utrillas finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
UD Casetas
35%
Draws
25%
Utrillas
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: UD Casetas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and UD Casetas come out ahead of Utrillas on wins alone.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on UD Casetas taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
UD Casetas Clean Sheet 68%
Utrillas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UD Casetas Utrillas
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 5
Draws 11 12
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 1.3 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.8 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Utrillas vs UD Casetas
3:3
Dec 21, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
UD Casetas vs Utrillas
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UD Casetas 59 / 100
Utrillas 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UD Casetas Utrillas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UD Casetas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UD Casetas's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Utrillas conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: UD Casetas stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

UD Casetas VS Utrillas
2.13 Goals Scored 2.13
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

UD Casetas

(Home)
08 Aug
Utebo FC
4 : 1
UD Casetas
10 May
CD Belchite 97
1 : 1
UD Casetas
03 May
UD Casetas
2 : 0
Andorra CF
26 Apr
Utrillas
3 : 3
UD Casetas
19 Apr
UD Casetas
5 : 1
Tamarite
Page 1 of 6

Utrillas

(Away)
10 May
Utrillas
1 : 2
CD Caspe
03 May
Binefar
5 : 0
Utrillas
26 Apr
Utrillas
3 : 3
UD Casetas
19 Apr
Zuera
0 : 2
Utrillas
12 Apr
Utrillas
3 : 3
La Almunia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Calamocha 34 23 6 5 49:22 75
2 CD Cuarte 34 20 14 0 43:12 74
3 Atletico Monzon 34 23 4 7 73:37 73
4 Epila 34 19 10 5 39:20 67
5 CD Caspe 34 13 14 7 38:26 53
6 Huesca B 34 14 10 10 52:33 52
7 Binefar 34 14 6 14 58:47 48
8 La Almunia 34 11 14 9 42:38 47
9 Almudevar 34 12 8 14 34:39 44
10 Tamarite 34 10 11 13 41:47 41
11 Andorra CF 34 10 9 15 35:45 39
12 CF Illueca 34 9 11 14 35:51 38
13 Robres 34 10 6 18 38:49 36
14 CD Belchite 97 34 7 11 16 28:43 32
15 CD Carinena 34 5 16 13 35:46 31
16 UD Casetas 34 6 12 16 40:56 30
17 Utrillas 34 5 14 15 36:57 29
18 Zuera 34 2 10 22 17:65 16
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2025/2026 (Play Offs)