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UD Casetas vs Zuera

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

69'
Gayan I.
89' Event
De Castro C.

AI Match Summary

UD Casetas in this Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored UD Casetas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
UD Casetas
35%
Draws
13%
Zuera
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: UD Casetas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • UD Casetas have won more games recently than Zuera.
  • 52% — that's where the model lands on UD Casetas taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
UD Casetas Clean Sheet 68%
Zuera Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UD Casetas Zuera
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 2
Draws 11 9
Losses 13 19
Goals Scored 1.3 0.53
Goals Conceded 1.8 1.87
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 1, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
UD Casetas vs Zuera
1:0
Sep 21, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Zuera vs UD Casetas
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

UD Casetas Compare

Top Goalscorer De Castro C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Zuera Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UD Casetas 95 / 100
Zuera 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UD Casetas Zuera

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UD Casetas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zuera has conceded goals in 93% of their last 30 outings.

UD Casetas scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Recent resilience: UD Casetas stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Difficult form: Zuera registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

UD Casetas VS Zuera
2.13 Goals Scored 0.38
2.13 Goals Conceded 2.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

UD Casetas

(Home)
08 Aug
Utebo FC
4 : 1
UD Casetas
10 May
CD Belchite 97
1 : 1
UD Casetas
03 May
UD Casetas
2 : 0
Andorra CF
26 Apr
Utrillas
3 : 3
UD Casetas
19 Apr
UD Casetas
5 : 1
Tamarite
Page 1 of 6

Zuera

(Away)
10 May
Epila
1 : 1
Zuera
03 May
Zuera
0 : 4
CD Belchite 97
26 Apr
Andorra CF
4 : 0
Zuera
19 Apr
Zuera
0 : 2
Utrillas
12 Apr
Tamarite
1 : 1
Zuera
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Calamocha 34 23 6 5 49:22 75
2 CD Cuarte 34 20 14 0 43:12 74
3 Atletico Monzon 34 23 4 7 73:37 73
4 Epila 34 19 10 5 39:20 67
5 CD Caspe 34 13 14 7 38:26 53
6 Huesca B 34 14 10 10 52:33 52
7 Binefar 34 14 6 14 58:47 48
8 La Almunia 34 11 14 9 42:38 47
9 Almudevar 34 12 8 14 34:39 44
10 Tamarite 34 10 11 13 41:47 41
11 Andorra CF 34 10 9 15 35:45 39
12 CF Illueca 34 9 11 14 35:51 38
13 Robres 34 10 6 18 38:49 36
14 CD Belchite 97 34 7 11 16 28:43 32
15 CD Carinena 34 5 16 13 35:46 31
16 UD Casetas 34 6 12 16 40:56 30
17 Utrillas 34 5 14 15 36:57 29
18 Zuera 34 2 10 22 17:65 16
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2025/2026 (Play Offs)