Sport Picks

Stadium Background

UD Ibiza vs Real Madrid B - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Primera RFEF - Group 2 Estadi Municipal de Can Misses, Ibiza
Fri, Oct 9, 2026
VS
07:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

UD Ibiza host Real Madrid B in the Primera RFEF - Group 2. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. UD Ibiza have averaged 1.62 scored and 1 conceded recently, against Real Madrid B's 1.58 scored and 1.19 conceded. Past meetings favor UD Ibiza slightly — 1-1-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 17, 2025, ending 2:1. The numbers (1.25 xG vs 0.94) point toward UD Ibiza. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
UD Ibiza
15%
Draws
37%
Real Madrid B
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: UD Ibiza

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and UD Ibiza come out ahead of Real Madrid B on wins alone.
  • Model gives UD Ibiza a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
UD Ibiza Clean Sheet 20%
Real Madrid B Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UD Ibiza Real Madrid B
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 15 11
Draws 3 13
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 1.62 1.58
Goals Conceded 1 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 17, 2025 Club Friendly
Real Madrid B vs UD Ibiza
2:1
Apr 6, 2025 Primera RFEF - Group 2
UD Ibiza vs Real Madrid B
0:0
Aug 31, 2024 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Real Madrid B vs UD Ibiza
0:1
May 5, 2024 Primera RFEF - Group 2
UD Ibiza vs Real Madrid B
0:0
Jan 13, 2024 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Real Madrid B vs UD Ibiza
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UD Ibiza 42 / 100
Real Madrid B 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UD Ibiza Real Madrid B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UD Ibiza's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Real Madrid B conceded in 71% of 31 recent games.

UD Ibiza went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

H2H data points to 1.20 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

UD Ibiza VS Real Madrid B
1.75 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

UD Ibiza

(Home)
04 Oct
Villarreal B
0 : 1
UD Ibiza
25 Sept
UD Ibiza
0 : 2
Zaragoza
19 Sept
Jaen
2 : 1
UD Ibiza
12 Sept
UD Ibiza
2 : 0
Sant Andreu
05 Sept
UD Ibiza
2 : 1
Rayo Majadahonda
Page 1 of 6

Real Madrid B

(Away)
02 Oct
Real Madrid B
3 : 2
Atl. Madrid B
27 Sept
Real Madrid B
1 : 2
Alcorcon
23 Sept
Sant Andreu
1 : 1
Real Madrid B
12 Sept
Aguilas FC
1 : 0
Real Madrid B
05 Sept
Real Madrid B
2 : 0
Torremolinos
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zaragoza 6 5 0 1 12:6 15
2 Villarreal B 6 4 1 1 12:6 13
3 Alcorcon 6 3 3 0 13:4 12
4 Murcia 6 4 0 2 10:7 12
5 FC Cartagena SAD 6 3 2 1 9:4 11
6 Jaen 6 3 2 1 8:5 11
7 Hercules 6 3 1 2 5:5 10
8 Antequera 6 2 3 1 10:8 9
9 UD Ibiza 6 3 0 3 8:8 9
10 Huesca 6 2 3 1 7:7 9
11 Atl. Madrid B 6 2 2 2 11:8 8
12 Real Madrid B 6 2 2 2 7:6 8
13 Sant Andreu 6 2 2 2 7:7 8
14 Gimnastic de Tarragona 6 2 1 3 7:9 7
15 Algeciras 6 2 1 3 8:11 7
16 Aguilas FC 6 1 2 3 5:10 5
17 Rayo Majadahonda 6 1 1 4 5:7 4
18 CE Europa 6 1 1 4 4:10 4
19 Teruel 6 0 2 4 2:12 2
20 Torremolinos 6 0 1 5 6:16 1
Promotion - LaLiga2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Primera RFEF - Group 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)