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Stadium Background

UD Ibiza vs Tarazona

Spain Spain

Primera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 Estadi Municipal de Can Misses, Ibiza
Our Tip

Match Events

7'
Incera I.
59'
Vaquero A.
61'
Sub
Armero S. In: Jimenez A.
Out: Armero S.

AI Match Summary

The Primera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 game between UD Ibiza and Tarazona finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward UD Ibiza.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
UD Ibiza
6%
Draws
4%
Tarazona
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: UD Ibiza

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Tarazona haven't matched UD Ibiza's recent run of results.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on UD Ibiza taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
UD Ibiza Clean Sheet 68%
Tarazona Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UD Ibiza Tarazona
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 10 8
Draws 9 11
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.13 1
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 2
UD Ibiza vs Tarazona
1:0
Nov 2, 2025 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Tarazona vs UD Ibiza
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

UD Ibiza Compare

Top Goalscorer Castillo F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Tarazona Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UD Ibiza 95 / 100
Tarazona 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UD Ibiza Tarazona

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UD Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tarazona let in goals in 65% of their last 31 matches.

UD Ibiza has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: UD Ibiza scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 0.50 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

UD Ibiza VS Tarazona
1.13 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

UD Ibiza

(Home)
23 May
CE Europa
3 : 2
UD Ibiza
16 May
UD Ibiza
3 : 1
FC Cartagena SAD
09 May
Hercules
2 : 1
UD Ibiza
03 May
UD Ibiza
4 : 0
Sanluqueno
25 Apr
Villarreal B
0 : 0
UD Ibiza
Page 1 of 6

Tarazona

(Away)
23 May
Tarazona
0 : 2
Sabadell
16 May
Betis B
3 : 0
Tarazona
10 May
Tarazona
2 : 0
Gimnastic de Tarragona
03 May
Teruel
0 : 0
Tarazona
26 Apr
Tarazona
0 : 0
Torremolinos
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Eldense381912757:3969
2Sabadell381814653:2768
3Atl. Madrid B381910964:4467
4Villarreal B381615754:3263
5CE Europa3816121055:5060
6FC Cartagena SAD3815121137:3857
7Antequera381681447:4456
8Algeciras3815101340:4155
9Hercules3814121243:4154
10Murcia3814101443:4052
11Alcorcon3812151144:3851
12UD Ibiza3813111444:3850
13Teruel3812131327:3349
14Gimnastic de Tarragona381381740:4947
15Torremolinos3811131445:5146
16Betis B381291748:5945
17Tarazona3811121531:4045
18Marbella38972236:5534
19Sanluqueno387102127:5331
20Sevilla B385132021:4428
Promotion - LaLiga2 (Main)
Promotion - Primera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)