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UD Logrones B vs Pena Balsamaiso Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Lorente M.
10' Event
Hugo J.
24' Event
Fernandez I.

AI Match Summary

UD Logrones B in this Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 6-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored UD Logrones B.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
UD Logrones B
20%
Draws
0%
Pena Balsamaiso
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: UD Logrones B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • UD Logrones B have won more games recently than Pena Balsamaiso.
  • UD Logrones B are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • UD Logrones B have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
UD Logrones B Clean Sheet 68%
Pena Balsamaiso Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UD Logrones B Pena Balsamaiso
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 22 0
Draws 6 10
Losses 1 20
Goals Scored 2.97 0.77
Goals Conceded 0.66 2.53
Expected Goals (xG) 3.69 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Pena Balsamaiso vs UD Logrones B
0:5
Jan 11, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
UD Logrones B vs Pena Balsamaiso
6:1
Mar 9, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
UD Logrones B vs Pena Balsamaiso
5:1
Oct 27, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Pena Balsamaiso vs UD Logrones B
1:2
Feb 4, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Pena Balsamaiso vs UD Logrones B
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

UD Logrones B Compare

Top Goalscorer Hugo J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Martinez N.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.84
Avg xA / game 1.84

Pena Balsamaiso Compare

Top Goalscorer Lorente M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UD Logrones B 95 / 100
Pena Balsamaiso 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UD Logrones B Pena Balsamaiso

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UD Logrones B Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UD Logrones B found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).

Pena Balsamaiso has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 4.40 goals.

Pena Balsamaiso lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

UD Logrones B VS Pena Balsamaiso
4 Goals Scored 1.13
0.5 Goals Conceded 3.38
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

UD Logrones B

(Home)
26 Sept
CE Manresa
0 : 1
UD Logrones B
20 Sept
Calamocha
3 : 2
UD Logrones B
13 Sept
UD Logrones B
0 : 0
Barcelona B
06 Sept
Tudelano
0 : 0
UD Logrones B
10 May
Pena Balsamaiso
0 : 5
UD Logrones B
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Pena Balsamaiso

(Away)
10 May
Pena Balsamaiso
0 : 5
UD Logrones B
30 Apr
Oyonesa
4 : 3
Pena Balsamaiso
26 Apr
Pena Balsamaiso
0 : 2
Pradejon
19 Apr
Anguiano
4 : 2
Pena Balsamaiso
12 Apr
Pena Balsamaiso
2 : 5
Haro Deportivo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UD Logrones B 34 26 8 0 99:22 86
2 Varea 34 22 7 5 51:25 73
3 Arnedo 34 21 9 4 72:26 72
4 CD Calahorra 34 17 12 5 86:26 63
5 Oyonesa 34 18 7 9 54:41 61
6 Anguiano 34 17 9 8 49:36 60
7 Haro Deportivo 34 14 9 11 54:46 51
8 Agoncillo 34 13 8 13 59:49 47
9 Vianes 34 11 9 14 39:51 42
10 Yague 34 9 13 12 48:52 40
11 San Marcial 34 10 9 15 39:59 39
12 Berceo 34 10 9 15 42:50 39
13 CDFC La Calzada 34 10 8 16 40:55 38
14 Comillas CF 34 11 5 18 32:58 38
15 Pradejon 34 9 8 17 30:49 35
16 Villegas 34 7 7 20 36:66 28
17 Autol 34 4 6 24 20:80 18
18 Pena Balsamaiso 34 0 11 23 27:86 11
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026 (Play Offs)