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UD Logrones vs Basconia

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Rosas B.
27' Event
Lekuna A.
41' Event
Rivero Q.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 game between UD Logrones and Basconia finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
UD Logrones
28%
Draws
50%
Basconia
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Basconia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • UD Logrones carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Basconia are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 96%
Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 41%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
UD Logrones Clean Sheet 12%
Basconia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UD Logrones Basconia
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 16 11
Draws 7 11
Losses 6 8
Goals Scored 2.25 2.86
Goals Conceded 0.63 1
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 2.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 1, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
UD Logrones vs Basconia
2:2
Nov 22, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Basconia vs UD Logrones
3:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

UD Logrones Compare

Top Goalscorer Rosas B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Basconia Compare

Top Goalscorer Lekuna A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.6
Avg xA / game 1.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UD Logrones 22 / 100
Basconia 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UD Logrones Basconia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UD Logrones's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Basconia conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: UD Logrones stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

UD Logrones VS Basconia
2.25 Goals Scored 2.86
0.63 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 71%
50% Over 2.5 71%
25% Over 3.5 57%

Recent Form & Match History

UD Logrones

(Home)
30 May
San Sebastian Reyes
1 : 1
UD Logrones
24 May
UD Logrones
1 : 0
San Sebastian Reyes
16 May
UD Logrones
2 : 1
Getafe B
10 May
Getafe B
0 : 2
UD Logrones
03 May
Ebro
0 : 3
UD Logrones
Page 1 of 6

Basconia

(Away)
03 May
Basconia
5 : 1
SD Ejea
26 Apr
Basconia
0 : 0
Gernika Club
18 Apr
Sestao
2 : 2
Basconia
12 Apr
Basconia
4 : 0
Mutilvera
05 Apr
SD Logrones
0 : 3
Basconia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Real Union34209564:3569
2Alaves B341711641:2062
3UD Logrones34187973:3361
4Utebo FC341771056:4258
5Tudelano34169956:4057
6Amorebieta3413111038:3250
7Sestao341214840:3350
8Ebro341116742:3649
9Eibar B341471341:4249
10Basconia341114955:4347
11Gernika Club341291334:4045
12Naxara341181539:4841
13SD Logrones348131322:4037
14Beasain348121438:4636
15SD Ejea348111535:5535
16Mutilvera34862031:6530
17Zaragoza B34772032:5928
18Alfaro34672132:6025
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)