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UD Logrones vs Ponferradina

Spain Spain

Copa del Rey
UD Logrones Logo

UD Logrones

1 - 3
FT
Ponferradina Logo

Ponferradina

Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Fernandez X.
24'
Mula A.
39'
Frimpong E.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-3, with Ponferradina advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
UD Logrones
6%
Draws
4%
Ponferradina
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: UD Logrones

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and UD Logrones come out ahead of Ponferradina on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans UD Logrones's way, sitting at 90%.
  • UD Logrones have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Ponferradina, who have won 4 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Ponferradina have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
UD Logrones Clean Sheet 68%
Ponferradina Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UD Logrones Ponferradina
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 17 14
Draws 7 7
Losses 6 7
Goals Scored 1.88 1
Goals Conceded 0.38 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.38 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 30, 2025 Copa del Rey
UD Logrones vs Ponferradina
1:3
Mar 30, 2021 LaLiga2
Ponferradina vs UD Logrones
2:2
Dec 2, 2020 LaLiga2
UD Logrones vs Ponferradina
1:2
Aug 6, 2014 Club Friendly
UD Logrones vs Ponferradina
0:1
Feb 26, 2012 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
UD Logrones vs Ponferradina
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

UD Logrones Compare

Top Goalscorer Morales A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Ponferradina Compare

Top Goalscorer Fernandez X.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Keita A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UD Logrones 95 / 100
Ponferradina 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UD Logrones Ponferradina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UD Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UD Logrones scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

UD Logrones went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Ponferradina let in goals in 43% of their last 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

UD Logrones VS Ponferradina
1.88 Goals Scored 1
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

UD Logrones

(Home)
30 May
San Sebastian Reyes
1 : 1
UD Logrones
24 May
UD Logrones
1 : 0
San Sebastian Reyes
16 May
UD Logrones
2 : 1
Getafe B
10 May
Getafe B
0 : 2
UD Logrones
03 May
Ebro
0 : 3
UD Logrones
Page 1 of 6

Ponferradina

(Away)
20 Jun
Celta Vigo B
4 : 1
Ponferradina
13 Jun
Ponferradina
0 : 0
Celta Vigo B
06 Jun
Atl. Madrid B
0 : 1
Ponferradina
30 May
Ponferradina
0 : 0
Atl. Madrid B
23 May
Ponferradina
1 : 0
Ath Bilbao B
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Mutilvera-
TBD-
TBD-
Zaragoza-
Atletico Tordesillas-
TBD-
TBD-
Burgos CF-
Navalcarnero-
TBD-
TBD-
AD Merida-
Inter de Valdemoro4
Univ. Julio Suarez2
TBD-
Getafe-
Atletico Astorga-
TBD-
TBD-
Mirandes-
Caudal Deportivo-
TBD-
TBD-
Gijon-
Puente Genil-
TBD-
TBD-
FC Cartagena SAD-
Sporting Ceuta1
Maracena3
TBD-
Valencia-
CD Tropezon-
TBD-
TBD-
Leonesa-
Valle Egues-
TBD-
TBD-
FC Andorra-
Ciudad Cieza-
TBD-
TBD-
Cordoba-
Orihuela-
TBD-
TBD-
Levante-
Ourense CF-
TBD-
TBD-
Real Oviedo-
Constancia-
TBD-
TBD-
Girona-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Ath Bilbao-
Portugalete-
TBD-
TBD-
Valladolid-
Deportivo Getxo2
Betis Valladolid1
TBD-
Alaves-
CD Extremadura-
TBD-
TBD-
Las Palmas-
Toledo-
TBD-
TBD-
Sevilla-
RSD Alcala-
TBD-
TBD-
Tenerife-
Roda-
TBD-
TBD-
Granada CF-
Real Avila-
TBD-
TBD-
Real Aviles-
Campanario0
CD Yuncos2
TBD-
Rayo Vallecano-
Jaen-
TBD-
TBD-
Eldense-
Lorca Deportiva-
TBD-
TBD-
Almeria-
Reus FC Reddis-
TBD-
TBD-
CE Europa-
Textil Escudo2
SD Negreira5
TBD-
Real Sociedad-
Langreo-
TBD-
TBD-
Racing Club Ferrol-
Utebo FC-
TBD-
TBD-
Huesca-
Ebro-
TBD-
TBD-
Tarazona-
CD Sant Jordi4
CD Lourdes1
TBD-
Osasuna-
CD Azuaga-
TBD-
TBD-
Leganes-
UD San Fernando-
TBD-
TBD-
Albacete-
Sant Andreu-
TBD-
TBD-
Teruel-
Puerto de Vega5
CCD Alberite1
TBD-
Celta Vigo-
Rayo Majadahonda-
TBD-
TBD-
CF Talavera-
CD Estepona-
TBD-
TBD-
Malaga-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Real Madrid-
UD Logrones-
TBD-
TBD-
Ponferradina-
SD Logrones-
TBD-
TBD-
Racing Santander-
Antoniano-
TBD-
TBD-
Castellon-
Ciudad de Lucena-
TBD-
TBD-
Villarreal-
Guadalajara-
TBD-
TBD-
Cacereno-
La Union (Malacitano)-
TBD-
TBD-
AD Ceuta-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Barcelona-
Murcia-
TBD-
TBD-
Antequera-
UCAM Murcia-
TBD-
TBD-
Cadiz-
Torrent-
TBD-
TBD-
Torremolinos-
Atletico Melilla0
Atletico Palma del Rio10
TBD-
Betis-
UD Ourense-
TBD-
TBD-
Pontevedra-
Naxara-
TBD-
TBD-
Eibar-
Quintanar del Rey-
TBD-
TBD-
UD Ibiza-
Manises2
UD Los Garres4
TBD-
Elche-
UD Poblense-
TBD-
TBD-
Sabadell-
UD Samano-
TBD-
TBD-
Dep. A Coruna-
Numancia-
TBD-
TBD-
Arenas Getxo-
Atletic Sant Just FC7
Atletico Calatayud1
TBD-
Mallorca-
Baleares-
TBD-
TBD-
Gimnastic de Tarragona-
CE Atletic Lleida-
TBD-
TBD-
Espanyol-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Atl. Madrid-
1/64-finals
Mutilvera1
Zaragoza3
Atletico Tordesillas1
Burgos CF2
Navalcarnero2
AD Merida1
Inter de Valdemoro0
Getafe11
Atletico Astorga1
Mirandes2
Caudal Deportivo0
Gijon1
Puente Genil0
FC Cartagena SAD1
Maracena0
Valencia5
CD Tropezon1
Leonesa3
Valle Egues1
FC Andorra5
Ciudad Cieza1
Cordoba0
Orihuela3
Levante4
Ourense CF4
Real Oviedo2
Constancia2
Girona3
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Ath Bilbao-
Portugalete1
Valladolid0
Deportivo Getxo0
Alaves7
CD Extremadura3
Las Palmas1
Toledo1
Sevilla4
RSD Alcala0
Tenerife4
Roda1
Granada CF5
Real Avila1
Real Aviles0
CD Yuncos1
Rayo Vallecano6
Jaen1
Eldense3
Lorca Deportiva0
Almeria2
Reus FC Reddis3
CE Europa2
SD Negreira0
Real Sociedad3
Langreo0
Racing Club Ferrol1
Utebo FC0
Huesca3
Ebro2
Tarazona1
CD Sant Jordi0
Osasuna5
CD Azuaga1
Leganes4
UD San Fernando0
Albacete3
Sant Andreu2
Teruel1
Puerto de Vega0
Celta Vigo2
Rayo Majadahonda1
CF Talavera4
CD Estepona1
Malaga3
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Real Madrid-
UD Logrones1
Ponferradina3
SD Logrones0
Racing Santander4
Antoniano1
Castellon0
Ciudad de Lucena0
Villarreal6
Guadalajara2
Cacereno1
La Union (Malacitano)0
AD Ceuta2
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Barcelona-
Murcia2
Antequera1
UCAM Murcia1
Cadiz3
Torrent3
Torremolinos1
Atletico Palma del Rio1
Betis7
UD Ourense1
Pontevedra2
Naxara2
Eibar4
Quintanar del Rey2
UD Ibiza1
UD Los Garres0
Elche4
UD Poblense1
Sabadell2
UD Samano1
Dep. A Coruna5
Numancia3
Arenas Getxo0
Atletic Sant Just FC0
Mallorca2
Baleares2
Gimnastic de Tarragona0
CE Atletic Lleida1
Espanyol2
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Atl. Madrid-
1/32-finals
Zaragoza0
Burgos CF1
Navalcarnero2
Getafe3
Mirandes0
Gijon2
FC Cartagena SAD1
Valencia2
Leonesa4
FC Andorra2
Ciudad Cieza0
Levante1
Ourense CF2
Girona1
TBD-
Ath Bilbao-
Portugalete0
Alaves3
CD Extremadura1
Sevilla2
Tenerife0
Granada CF1
Real Avila1
Rayo Vallecano2
Eldense2
Almeria1
Reus FC Reddis0
Real Sociedad2
Racing Club Ferrol0
Huesca2
Ebro3
Osasuna5
Leganes1
Albacete2
Sant Andreu1
Celta Vigo2
CF Talavera2
Malaga1
TBD-
Real Madrid-
Ponferradina1
Racing Santander2
Antoniano1
Villarreal2
Guadalajara1
AD Ceuta0
TBD-
Barcelona-
Murcia3
Cadiz2
Torrent1
Betis4
Pontevedra0
Eibar3
Quintanar del Rey1
Elche2
Sabadell0
Dep. A Coruna2
Numancia2
Mallorca3
Baleares1
Espanyol0
TBD-
Atl. Madrid-
1/16-finals
Burgos CF3
Getafe1
Gijon0
Valencia2
Leonesa1
Levante0
Ourense CF0
Ath Bilbao1
Alaves1
Sevilla0
Granada CF1
Rayo Vallecano3
Eldense1
Real Sociedad2
Huesca2
Osasuna4
Albacete3
Celta Vigo2
CF Talavera2
Real Madrid3
Racing Santander2
Villarreal1
Guadalajara0
Barcelona2
Murcia0
Betis2
Eibar0
Elche1
Dep. A Coruna1
Mallorca0
Baleares2
Atl. Madrid3
1/8-finals
Burgos CF0
Valencia2
Leonesa3
Ath Bilbao4
Alaves2
Rayo Vallecano0
Real Sociedad3
Osasuna2
Albacete3
Real Madrid2
Racing Santander0
Barcelona2
Betis2
Elche1
Dep. A Coruna0
Atl. Madrid1
Quarter-finals
Albacete1
Barcelona2
Betis0
Atl. Madrid5
Valencia1
Ath Bilbao2
Alaves2
Real Sociedad3
Semi-finals
Barcelona3
Atl. Madrid4
Ath Bilbao0
Real Sociedad2
Final
Atl. Madrid2
Real Sociedad3