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UD Los Garres vs Santomera

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Moreno Sabater A.
41' Event
Fernandez J.
(Penalty)
69' Event
Lora A.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 13 game between UD Los Garres and Santomera finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
UD Los Garres
35%
Draws
45%
Santomera
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Santomera

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Santomera come out ahead of UD Los Garres on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Santomera's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 35%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
UD Los Garres Clean Sheet 20%
Santomera Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UD Los Garres Santomera
Matches Played 29 33
Wins 2 12
Draws 6 6
Losses 21 15
Goals Scored 0.72 1.55
Goals Conceded 2.17 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.52 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
UD Los Garres vs Santomera
2:2
Aug 30, 2024 Club Friendly
UD Los Garres vs Santomera
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

UD Los Garres Compare

Top Goalscorer Lora A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.17
Avg xA / game 0.76

Santomera Compare

Top Goalscorer Moreno Sabater A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Araujo Q.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UD Los Garres 20 / 100
Santomera 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UD Los Garres Santomera

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Santomera Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Santomera has conceded goals in 88% of their last 33 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Recent resilience: UD Los Garres stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

UD Los Garres found the back of the net in 52% of recent matches (29 games).

Scoring Trends

UD Los Garres VS Santomera
0.8 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 2.25
60% Over 1.5 88%
20% Over 2.5 63%
20% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

UD Los Garres

(Home)
13 Sept
UD Los Garres
2 : 2
Santomera
06 Sept
Bullas Deportivo
1 : 1
UD Los Garres
08 Aug
FC Cartagena SAD B
1 : 1
UD Los Garres
01 Aug
Deportiva Minera
1 : 0
UD Los Garres
29 Oct
UD Los Garres
0 : 4
Elche
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Santomera

(Away)
13 Sept
UD Los Garres
2 : 2
Santomera
05 Sept
Santomera
2 : 1
UCAM Murcia B
28 Aug
Santomera
3 : 1
Torrellano
22 Aug
Santomera
1 : 2
Ciudad Cieza
19 Aug
Santomera
1 : 4
Crevillente
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bullas Deportivo 2 1 1 0 4:1 4
2 Molinense 2 1 1 0 6:4 4
3 CA Pulpileno 2 1 1 0 2:0 4
4 San Javier 2 1 1 0 5:4 4
5 Santomera 2 1 1 0 4:3 4
6 Cotillas CD 2 1 1 0 4:3 4
7 Bala Azul 2 1 1 0 3:2 4
8 Minerva 2 1 1 0 1:0 4
9 UCAM Murcia B 2 1 0 1 5:2 3
10 Santa Cruz 2 1 0 1 4:4 3
11 UD Los Garres 2 0 2 0 3:3 2
12 Aguilas FC B 2 0 2 0 3:3 2
13 Alcantarilla 2 0 2 0 1:1 2
14 Club Olimpico de Totana 2 0 1 1 3:4 1
15 FC Cartagena SAD B 2 0 1 1 2:4 1
16 Mazarron FC 2 0 0 2 1:3 0
17 CD Algar 2 0 0 2 0:5 0
18 Deportivo Maritimo 2 0 0 2 0:5 0
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 6 (Promotion - Play Offs)