Sport Picks
UD Ourense vs Cacereno - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Spain
Primera RFEF - Group 1 Estadio de O Couto, Ourense 
Match Events
34'
34'
Exposito A.
46'
46'
Sub
Tellechea I. In: Rodriguez V.
Out: Tellechea I.
46'
46'
Sub
Exposito A. In: Monerris A.
Out: Exposito A.
AI Match Summary
The Primera RFEF - Group 1 game between UD Ourense and Cacereno finished 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
35%
32%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
32%
/ Low Confidence
- Cacereno have managed 1.23 goals a game lately — UD Ourense are scoring more at 1.24.
- 32% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
UD Ourense Clean Sheet 18%
Cacereno Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | UD Ourense | Cacereno |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 12 | 12 |
| Draws | 8 | 10 |
| Losses | 9 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.24 | 1.23 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.14 | 0.93 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.63 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 27, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 1
UD Ourense vs Cacereno
0:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
UD Ourense 32 / 100
Cacereno 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
UD Ourense Cacereno
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Cacereno Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
UD Ourense found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).
Cacereno let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.
Solid form: UD Ourense remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
These sides typically produce 0.00 goals when they meet.
Scoring Trends
UD Ourense VS Cacereno
0.63 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
UD Ourense
(Home) 10 Oct
UD Ourense
1 : 0 Barakaldo
03 Oct
Real Union
1 : 1 UD Ourense
27 Sept
UD Ourense
0 : 0 Cacereno
19 Sept
Unionistas de Salamanca
3 : 1 UD Ourense
12 Sept
UD Ourense
0 : 3 UD Logrones
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
UD Ourense
1 : 0 Barakaldo
27 Sept
UD Ourense
0 : 0 Cacereno
12 Sept
UD Ourense
0 : 3 UD Logrones
29 Aug
UD Ourense
0 : 1 Ponferradina
19 Aug
UD Ourense
2 : 0 Barco
Page 1 of 3
Cacereno
(Away) 10 Oct
Cacereno
1 : 1 Unionistas de Salamanca
04 Oct
AD Merida
2 : 0 Cacereno
27 Sept
UD Ourense
0 : 0 Cacereno
20 Sept
Cacereno
3 : 0 Arenas Getxo
16 Sept
Recreativo Huelva
2 : 1 Cacereno
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
AD Merida
2 : 0 Cacereno
27 Sept
UD Ourense
0 : 0 Cacereno
16 Sept
Recreativo Huelva
2 : 1 Cacereno
06 Sept
Deportivo Fabril
1 : 1 Cacereno
21 Aug
Unionistas de Salamanca
1 : 0 Cacereno
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | UD Logrones | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 15:7 | 16 |
| 2 | Lugo | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 9:3 | 16 |
| 3 | Racing Club Ferrol | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 8:5 | 13 |
| 4 | Cacereno | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 7:4 | 12 |
| 5 | Ath Bilbao B | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 12:8 | 11 |
| 6 | Mirandes | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10:8 | 11 |
| 7 | Zamora | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9:7 | 11 |
| 8 | Ponferradina | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 5:3 | 11 |
| 9 | CD Extremadura | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 9:8 | 9 |
| 10 | Real Union | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 13:11 | 8 |
| 11 | Pontevedra | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:8 | 8 |
| 12 | Deportivo Fabril | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:8 | 8 |
| 13 | Leonesa | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4:5 | 8 |
| 14 | Unionistas de Salamanca | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10:13 | 7 |
| 15 | AD Merida | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9:11 | 6 |
| 16 | Barakaldo | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6:10 | 6 |
| 17 | Real Aviles | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9:10 | 5 |
| 18 | CD Coria | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 10:15 | 5 |
| 19 | UD Ourense | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3:10 | 5 |
| 20 | Arenas Getxo | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4:14 | 2 |
Promotion - LaLiga2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Primera RFEF - Group 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
