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UD Ourense vs CD Choco

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Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2022/2023
UD Ourense Logo

UD Ourense

2 - 1
FT
CD Choco Logo

CD Choco

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2022/2023 game between UD Ourense and CD Choco finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward UD Ourense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
UD Ourense
15%
Draws
0%
CD Choco
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: UD Ourense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • CD Choco haven't matched UD Ourense's recent run of results.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on UD Ourense taking it.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
UD Ourense Clean Sheet 68%
CD Choco Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UD Ourense CD Choco
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 15 3
Draws 7 6
Losses 9 21
Goals Scored 1.29 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.06 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 18, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
UD Ourense vs CD Choco
2:1
Oct 23, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
CD Choco vs UD Ourense
2:1
Mar 14, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
CD Choco vs UD Ourense
4:0
Dec 8, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
UD Ourense vs CD Choco
1:1
Feb 9, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
CD Choco vs UD Ourense
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UD Ourense 95 / 100
CD Choco 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UD Ourense CD Choco

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UD Ourense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Choco let in goals in 97% of their last 30 matches.

CD Choco's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

UD Ourense's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

UD Ourense VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

UD Ourense

(Home)
29 Aug
UD Ourense
0 : 1
Ponferradina
19 Aug
UD Ourense
2 : 0
Barco
08 Aug
Celta Vigo B
2 : 0
UD Ourense
31 May
Conquense
0 : 2
UD Ourense
24 May
UD Ourense
1 : 0
Conquense
Page 1 of 7

CD Choco

(Away)
22 Apr
CD Choco
1 : 3
Rapido de Bouzas
16 Apr
Arzua
3 : 1
CD Choco
06 Apr
CD Choco
0 : 1
Estradense
01 Apr
Arosa SC
1 : 0
CD Choco
26 Mar
CD Choco
0 : 1
Deportivo Fabril
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Deportivo Fabril 30 17 10 3 47:18 61
2 Arosa SC 30 16 10 4 45:26 58
3 Rapido de Bouzas 30 14 14 2 39:24 56
4 Racing Club Villalbes 30 11 13 6 35:24 46
5 UD Ourense 30 11 12 7 38:30 45
6 Alondras 30 11 8 11 36:29 41
7 Atletico Arteixo 30 11 8 11 37:42 41
8 Somozas 30 11 7 12 32:37 40
9 Estradense 30 11 6 13 33:38 39
10 Gran Pena 30 10 8 12 47:37 38
11 Paiosaco 30 11 4 15 31:42 37
12 Silva SD 30 10 7 13 38:46 37
13 Viveiro 30 9 10 11 29:37 37
14 Arzua 30 9 4 17 28:48 31
15 Barco 30 8 7 15 26:38 31
16 CD Choco 30 3 6 21 27:52 15
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2022/2023 (Play Offs)