Sport Picks
UD Ourense vs Conquense
Spain
Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 Estadio de O Couto, Ourense 
Match Events
AI Match Summary
UD Ourense in this Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 tie, finishing 1-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Conquense average 1.34 goals a game right now, well clear of UD Ourense's 1.27.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
- Historical meetings favor UD Ourense, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | UD Ourense | Conquense |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 15 | 15 |
| Draws | 7 | 8 |
| Losses | 8 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.27 | 1.34 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 0.97 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 0.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
UD Ourense Compare
Conquense Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: UD Ourense scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.
Defensive concern: Conquense conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.
Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.
UD Ourense went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
