Sport Picks
Match Events
AI Match Summary
UD Ourense in this Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored UD Ourense.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- UD Ourense have won more games recently than Lealtad.
- 49% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | UD Ourense | Lealtad |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 14 | 8 |
| Draws | 7 | 3 |
| Losses | 9 | 18 |
| Goals Scored | 1.23 | 0.93 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.07 | 1.48 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
UD Ourense Compare
Lealtad Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
UD Ourense's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Lealtad's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.
H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.
Difficult form: Lealtad registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
UD Ourense
(Home)Lealtad
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Fabril | 34 | 20 | 9 | 5 | 59:22 | 69 |
| 2 | Real Oviedo B | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 50:35 | 58 |
| 3 | Numancia | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 46:31 | 56 |
| 4 | UD Ourense | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 40:34 | 55 |
| 5 | Coruxo FC | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 46:37 | 52 |
| 6 | Gimnastica Segoviana | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 37:36 | 51 |
| 7 | Real Avila | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 48:52 | 50 |
| 8 | Salamanca CF UDS | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 43:36 | 50 |
| 9 | Rayo Cantabria | 34 | 11 | 15 | 8 | 63:50 | 48 |
| 10 | Bergantinos | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 44:37 | 48 |
| 11 | Atletico Astorga | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 41:43 | 45 |
| 12 | Marino De Luanco | 34 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 31:26 | 45 |
| 13 | Valladolid Promesas | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 59:58 | 45 |
| 14 | Langreo | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 35:41 | 43 |
| 15 | Sarriana | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 42:42 | 40 |
| 16 | Burgos CF B | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 38:55 | 36 |
| 17 | Lealtad | 34 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 31:54 | 28 |
| 18 | UD Samano | 34 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 23:87 | 15 |
