Sport Picks
UD Ourense vs Leonesa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Spain
Primera RFEF - Group 1 
AI Match Summary
UD Ourense host Leonesa in the Primera RFEF - Group 1. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: UD Ourense at 1.11 goals for, 1.21 against; Leonesa at 1 for, 1.39 against. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. The numbers (0.63 xG vs 1.38) point toward UD Ourense. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- UD Ourense have won more games recently than Leonesa.
- 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | UD Ourense | Leonesa |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 10 | 6 |
| Draws | 8 | 9 |
| Losses | 10 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.11 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.21 | 1.39 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.63 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Leonesa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 28 matches.
UD Ourense's goal record stands at 64% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Recent resilience: UD Ourense stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Difficult form: Leonesa registered 1 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
UD Ourense
(Home)Leonesa
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lugo | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 15:4 | 22 |
| 2 | UD Logrones | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 17:11 | 17 |
| 3 | Racing Club Ferrol | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 9:5 | 16 |
| 4 | AD Merida | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 15:12 | 12 |
| 5 | Ath Bilbao B | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 13:10 | 12 |
| 6 | Zamora | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10:8 | 12 |
| 7 | Leonesa | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9:7 | 12 |
| 8 | Cacereno | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 7:5 | 12 |
| 9 | Ponferradina | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 6:6 | 12 |
| 10 | Real Aviles | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 14:10 | 11 |
| 11 | Pontevedra | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10:10 | 11 |
| 12 | Mirandes | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10:10 | 11 |
| 13 | Real Union | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 15:13 | 10 |
| 14 | CD Extremadura | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11:10 | 10 |
| 15 | Barakaldo | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8:10 | 9 |
| 16 | Deportivo Fabril | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:11 | 8 |
| 17 | CD Coria | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 12:16 | 8 |
| 18 | Unionistas de Salamanca | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 10:14 | 7 |
| 19 | UD Ourense | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 3:13 | 5 |
| 20 | Arenas Getxo | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5:22 | 2 |
