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AI Match Summary
UD Ourense in this Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored UD Ourense.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Paiosaco haven't matched UD Ourense's recent run of results.
- Model gives Paiosaco a 73% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- UD Ourense have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | UD Ourense | Paiosaco |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 37 | 30 |
| Wins | 18 | 9 |
| Draws | 9 | 9 |
| Losses | 10 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.49 | 0.93 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 1.33 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.29 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
UD Ourense Compare
Paiosaco Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
UD Ourense's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 37 recent games.
Paiosaco's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.
These sides typically produce 1.40 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: UD Ourense stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
UD Ourense
(Home)Paiosaco
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bergantinos | 34 | 21 | 10 | 3 | 49:19 | 73 |
| 2 | Gran Pena | 34 | 15 | 16 | 3 | 48:30 | 61 |
| 3 | Arosa SC | 34 | 15 | 13 | 6 | 39:23 | 58 |
| 4 | UD Ourense | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 47:34 | 55 |
| 5 | Sarriana | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 43:35 | 50 |
| 6 | Atletico Arteixo | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 46:39 | 47 |
| 7 | Somozas | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 43:39 | 45 |
| 8 | Estradense | 34 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 31:32 | 45 |
| 9 | Barbadas-Bentraces | 34 | 10 | 14 | 10 | 33:34 | 44 |
| 10 | Viveiro | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 39:42 | 44 |
| 11 | Alondras | 34 | 10 | 14 | 10 | 37:36 | 44 |
| 12 | Silva SD | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 35:35 | 43 |
| 13 | Lugo B | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 32:34 | 43 |
| 14 | Betanzos CF | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 35:31 | 43 |
| 15 | Rapido de Bouzas | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 38:40 | 42 |
| 16 | Paiosaco | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 30:42 | 41 |
| 17 | Pontevedra B | 34 | 7 | 5 | 22 | 27:65 | 26 |
| 18 | Arzua | 34 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 24:66 | 18 |