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UD Ourense vs Reus FC Reddis

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Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 Estadio de O Couto
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Sanchez R.
30' Event
Carbia F.
72' Event
Barbosa J.

AI Match Summary

UD Ourense in this Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored UD Ourense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
UD Ourense
17%
Draws
13%
Reus FC Reddis
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: UD Ourense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to UD Ourense lately — more wins on the board than Reus FC Reddis.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on UD Ourense taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
UD Ourense Clean Sheet 68%
Reus FC Reddis Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UD Ourense Reus FC Reddis
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 16 10
Draws 8 8
Losses 6 10
Goals Scored 1.38 1.13
Goals Conceded 1 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
UD Ourense vs Reus FC Reddis
2:1
May 9, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Reus FC Reddis vs UD Ourense
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

UD Ourense Compare

Top Goalscorer Sanchez R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Barbosa J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Reus FC Reddis Compare

Top Goalscorer Carbia F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UD Ourense 77 / 100
Reus FC Reddis 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UD Ourense Reus FC Reddis

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick U.D Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: UD Ourense scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: UD Ourense stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Reus FC Reddis has conceded goals in 68% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Scoring Trends

UD Ourense VS Reus FC Reddis
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Alaves B2
Jaen3
Baleares4
Coruxo FC1
Deportiva Minera0
CD Coria1
Real Oviedo B3
Tudelano1
UD Logrones4
Getafe B1
San Sebastian Reyes3
Alcoyano1
UD Ourense2
Reus FC Reddis1
Conquense1
Xerez CD1
Aguilas FC4
Utebo FC2
UD Poblense3
Numancia1
Final
Jaen4
Baleares2
CD Coria4
Real Oviedo B0
UD Logrones2
San Sebastian Reyes1
UD Ourense3
Conquense0
Aguilas FC2
UD Poblense1