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AI Match Summary
UD Ourense in this Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Form's been kind to UD Ourense lately — more wins on the board than Reus FC Reddis.
- 73% — that's where the model lands on Reus FC Reddis taking it.
- UD Ourense have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor UD Ourense, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | UD Ourense | Reus FC Reddis |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 28 |
| Wins | 14 | 11 |
| Draws | 7 | 6 |
| Losses | 9 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.23 | 1.04 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.07 | 1.07 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.94 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
UD Ourense Compare
Reus FC Reddis Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: UD Ourense scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.
Reus FC Reddis has conceded goals in 68% of their last 28 outings.
These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.
Difficult form: Reus FC Reddis registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.