Sport Picks

Stadium Background

UD Poblense vs Castellon B - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 3
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
10:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

UD Poblense host Castellon B in the Segunda RFEF - Group 3. Little to choose between these two on current form. UD Poblense have averaged 0.96 scored and 1 conceded recently, against Castellon B's 1.75 scored and 1.79 conceded. Head-to-head, UD Poblense have won 1 to Castellon B's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Feb 28, 2026, ending 2:0. Model xG sits at 0.88 vs 1.06, favoring UD Poblense. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Under 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

17%
UD Poblense
15%
Draws
68%
Castellon B
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Castellon B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Castellon B at 1.75 per game, UD Poblense at 0.96.
  • Model gives Castellon B a 68% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Segunda RFEF - Group 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
UD Poblense Clean Sheet 22%
Castellon B Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UD Poblense Castellon B
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 11 11
Draws 7 6
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 0.96 1.75
Goals Conceded 1 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 3
Castellon B vs UD Poblense
2:0
Oct 19, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 3
UD Poblense vs Castellon B
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UD Poblense 10 / 100
Castellon B 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UD Poblense Castellon B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Castellon B Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Castellon B let in goals in 82% of their last 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

UD Poblense's goal record stands at 64% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Solid form: UD Poblense remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

UD Poblense VS Castellon B
0.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

UD Poblense

(Home)
04 Oct
Baleares
2 : 1
UD Poblense
27 Sept
UD Poblense
1 : 0
Valencia B
20 Sept
Alcoyano
2 : 0
UD Poblense
13 Sept
UD Poblense
1 : 2
Castellonense
06 Sept
La Nucia
1 : 0
UD Poblense
Page 1 of 6

Castellon B

(Away)
03 Oct
Castellon B
2 : 1
Lorca Deportiva
26 Sept
Orihuela
1 : 4
Castellon B
19 Sept
Valencia B
1 : 2
Castellon B
12 Sept
Castellon B
3 : 0
Alcoyano
05 Sept
Castellon B
1 : 2
CF Intercity
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Castellon B 5 4 0 1 12:5 12
2 La Nucia 5 4 0 1 9:3 12
3 Castellonense 5 4 0 1 8:3 12
4 Alcoyano 5 3 1 1 6:4 10
5 UCAM Murcia 5 3 0 2 12:6 9
6 CF Intercity 5 2 3 0 7:5 9
7 Ciudad Cieza 5 2 2 1 7:3 8
8 Deportiva Minera 5 2 2 1 5:4 8
9 Yeclano 5 2 2 1 4:3 8
10 Orihuela 5 2 1 2 6:11 7
11 Lorca Deportiva 5 1 2 2 3:4 5
12 Mallorca B 5 1 2 2 2:4 5
13 Baleares 5 1 2 2 6:9 5
14 Valencia B 5 1 1 3 5:7 4
15 Ilicitano 5 1 1 3 3:8 4
16 UD Poblense 5 1 0 4 3:7 3
17 Real Murcia B 5 1 0 4 4:11 3
18 Pena Deportiva 5 0 1 4 3:8 1
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 (Play Out)