Sport Picks

Stadium Background

UD Poblense vs CE Atletic Lleida

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

23'
Santana A.
23'
Santana A.
39' Event
Prohens J.

AI Match Summary

The Segunda RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026 game between UD Poblense and CE Atletic Lleida finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward UD Poblense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
UD Poblense
20%
Draws
50%
CE Atletic Lleida
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: CE Atletic Lleida

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • UD Poblense carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Segunda RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
UD Poblense Clean Sheet 20%
CE Atletic Lleida Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UD Poblense CE Atletic Lleida
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 13 5
Draws 9 9
Losses 9 15
Goals Scored 1.06 0.9
Goals Conceded 0.87 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 3
CE Atletic Lleida vs UD Poblense
1:2
Dec 6, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 3
UD Poblense vs CE Atletic Lleida
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

UD Poblense Compare

Top Goalscorer Prohens J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Penyafort T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

CE Atletic Lleida Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UD Poblense 32 / 100
CE Atletic Lleida 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UD Poblense CE Atletic Lleida

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UD Poblense's goal record stands at 65% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

CE Atletic Lleida has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Solid form: UD Poblense remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

UD Poblense VS CE Atletic Lleida
1.13 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 1.75
50% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

UD Poblense

(Home)
20 Sept
Alcoyano
2 : 0
UD Poblense
13 Sept
UD Poblense
1 : 2
Castellonense
06 Sept
La Nucia
1 : 0
UD Poblense
14 Aug
UD Poblense
1 : 0
Baleares
31 May
UD Poblense
1 : 2
Aguilas FC
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CE Atletic Lleida

(Away)
20 Sept
CE Atletic Lleida
1 : 0
Mollerussa
13 Sept
L Hospitalet
2 : 0
CE Atletic Lleida
06 Sept
CE Atletic Lleida
2 : 2
Cornella
22 Aug
CE Manresa
1 : 1
CE Atletic Lleida
16 Aug
Reus FC Reddis
2 : 1
CE Atletic Lleida
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sant Andreu 34 20 6 8 51:33 66
2 Baleares 34 19 9 6 53:34 66
3 UD Poblense 34 16 11 7 41:28 59
4 Reus FC Reddis 34 16 7 11 50:38 55
5 Alcoyano 34 13 16 5 30:20 55
6 Barcelona B 34 14 10 10 62:40 52
7 Girona B 34 12 11 11 45:37 47
8 Terrassa 34 11 13 10 36:44 46
9 Valencia B 34 10 14 10 53:50 44
10 Espanyol B 34 10 14 10 34:35 44
11 UD Barbastro 34 10 13 11 32:31 43
12 Olot 34 10 12 12 31:32 42
13 Castellon B 34 11 9 14 59:72 42
14 SD Ibiza 34 10 10 14 35:44 40
15 Andratx 34 8 9 17 35:56 33
16 CE Atletic Lleida 34 6 12 16 37:51 30
17 Torrent 34 7 9 18 36:53 30
18 Porreres 34 6 9 19 22:44 27
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)