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UD Poblense vs Inter Manacor

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Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Nicoli A.
20' Event
Cladera M.
Own Goal
35' Event
Cladera M.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2023/2024 game between UD Poblense and Inter Manacor finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward UD Poblense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
UD Poblense
15%
Draws
0%
Inter Manacor
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: UD Poblense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and UD Poblense come out ahead of Inter Manacor on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans UD Poblense's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors UD Poblense here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
UD Poblense Clean Sheet 20%
Inter Manacor Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UD Poblense Inter Manacor
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 18 1
Draws 9 4
Losses 6 25
Goals Scored 1.58 0.57
Goals Conceded 0.67 3.17
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 9, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
UD Poblense vs Inter Manacor
5:0
Oct 21, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Inter Manacor vs UD Poblense
0:2
Jan 22, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Inter Manacor vs UD Poblense
0:0
Sep 17, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
UD Poblense vs Inter Manacor
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

UD Poblense Compare

Top Goalscorer Nicoli A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Llabres M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.46

Inter Manacor Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UD Poblense 85 / 100
Inter Manacor 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UD Poblense Inter Manacor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UD Poblense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Inter Manacor let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Inter Manacor lost 5 of their last 5 games.

UD Poblense's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Scoring Trends

UD Poblense VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

UD Poblense

(Home)
14 Aug
UD Poblense
1 : 0
Baleares
31 May
UD Poblense
1 : 2
Aguilas FC
24 May
Aguilas FC
0 : 0
UD Poblense
17 May
UD Poblense
2 : 1
Numancia
10 May
Numancia
0 : 1
UD Poblense
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Inter Manacor

(Away)
12 May
Felanitx
5 : 0
Inter Manacor
05 May
Inter Manacor
0 : 2
Platges de Calvia
01 May
Llosetense
1 : 0
Inter Manacor
27 Apr
Inter Manacor
1 : 7
Alcudia
21 Apr
Soller
2 : 1
Inter Manacor
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SD Ibiza 34 27 6 1 73:15 87
2 Mallorca B 34 22 8 4 72:16 74
3 UD Poblense 34 22 8 4 63:15 74
4 Platges de Calvia 34 18 9 7 47:22 63
5 Manacor 34 19 5 10 59:40 62
6 Santanyi 34 16 8 10 46:23 56
7 Constancia 34 15 8 11 44:32 53
8 Alcudia 34 14 7 13 54:44 49
9 Llosetense 34 14 7 13 37:38 49
10 Mercadal 34 12 9 13 33:37 45
11 Binissalem 34 12 7 15 35:38 43
12 Portmany 34 11 9 14 38:38 42
13 Collerense 34 10 8 16 39:55 38
14 Felanitx 34 10 5 19 37:53 35
15 Alaior 34 8 7 19 27:51 31
16 Arenal 34 6 8 20 28:59 26
17 Soller 34 4 5 25 26:98 17
18 Inter Manacor 34 2 4 28 22:106 10
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2023/2024 (Play Offs)