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UD Poblense vs PE Sant Jordi

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2024/2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

UD Poblense play PE Sant Jordi in the Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2024/2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, UD Poblense averaged 0.88 goals scored and 0.63 conceded. PE Sant Jordi averaged 0 goals scored and 0 conceded. In past meetings, UD Poblense won 3, PE Sant Jordi won 0, and they drew 2. Their last match on Feb 15, 2025 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.04 for UD Poblense and 0.81 for PE Sant Jordi. This points to a UD Poblense double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
UD Poblense
11%
Draws
9%
PE Sant Jordi
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: UD Poblense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • UD Poblense has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to PE Sant Jordi.
  • Model forecasts a 80% win probability edge for UD Poblense.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2024/2025 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
UD Poblense Clean Sheet 68%
PE Sant Jordi Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UD Poblense PE Sant Jordi
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 8
Draws 9 6
Losses 7 16
Goals Scored 0.88 0
Goals Conceded 0.63 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
UD Poblense vs PE Sant Jordi
3:0
Oct 5, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
PE Sant Jordi vs UD Poblense
0:1
Mar 25, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
PE Sant Jordi vs UD Poblense
1:1
Nov 26, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
UD Poblense vs PE Sant Jordi
2:2
Mar 13, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
UD Poblense vs PE Sant Jordi
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

UD Poblense Compare

Top Goalscorer Pons A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nieto D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

PE Sant Jordi Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UD Poblense 86 / 100
PE Sant Jordi 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UD Poblense PE Sant Jordi

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UDP Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UD Poblense scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

PE Sant Jordi let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

UD Poblense went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

PE Sant Jordi lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

UD Poblense VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1UD Poblense34226647:1772
2Constancia341813355:3167
3Formentera34199668:3466
4Porreres341711651:3262
5Penya Independent341771059:3458
6Platges de Calvia341412851:3754
7Manacor341312954:3651
8Alcudia341381351:5347
9Binissalem341381335:3447
10Llosetense341281447:4544
11Santanyi3410131140:4543
12Mercadal3410101440:4340
13Felanitx3410101433:5040
14Collerense349121342:4839
15Portmany348131343:5137
16PE Sant Jordi34862030:5230
17Campos34482231:7520
18Migjorn34442622:8216