Sport Picks
UD Poblense vs Son Ferrer
Spain
Tercera Division - Group 11 2011/2012 
AI Match Summary
The Tercera Division - Group 11 2011/2012 game between UD Poblense and Son Ferrer finished 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
85%
15%
0%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: UD Poblense
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and UD Poblense come out ahead of Son Ferrer on wins alone.
- 85% — that's where the model lands on UD Poblense taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
UD Poblense Clean Sheet 20%
Son Ferrer Clean Sheet 16%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | UD Poblense | Son Ferrer |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 38 | 31 |
| Wins | 21 | 2 |
| Draws | 10 | 1 |
| Losses | 7 | 28 |
| Goals Scored | 1.55 | 0.61 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.74 | 3.03 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.92 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Dec 22, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
UD Poblense vs Son Ferrer
3:0
Aug 26, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Son Ferrer vs UD Poblense
0:5
May 5, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
UD Poblense vs Son Ferrer
0:0
Dec 17, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Son Ferrer vs UD Poblense
3:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
UD Poblense 85 / 100
Son Ferrer 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
UD Poblense Son Ferrer
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick UD Poblense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Son Ferrer has conceded goals in 100% of their last 31 outings.
Son Ferrer's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.
Attacking prowess: UD Poblense scored in 74% of their last 38 outings.
These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.
Scoring Trends
UD Poblense VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
UD Poblense
(Home) 14 Aug
UD Poblense
1 : 0 Baleares
31 May
UD Poblense
1 : 2 Aguilas FC
24 May
Aguilas FC
0 : 0 UD Poblense
17 May
UD Poblense
2 : 1 Numancia
10 May
Numancia
0 : 1 UD Poblense
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14 Aug
UD Poblense
1 : 0 Baleares
31 May
UD Poblense
1 : 2 Aguilas FC
17 May
UD Poblense
2 : 1 Numancia
26 Apr
UD Poblense
3 : 1 Porreres
12 Apr
UD Poblense
2 : 1 Torrent
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Son Ferrer
(Away) 19 May
Son Ferrer
0 : 1 Andratx
12 May
Espana
6 : 1 Son Ferrer
05 May
Son Ferrer
0 : 4 Penya Ciutadella Esportiva
28 Apr
Soller
3 : 1 Son Ferrer
21 Apr
Son Ferrer
1 : 2 Atletico Isleno
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12 May
Espana
6 : 1 Son Ferrer
28 Apr
Soller
3 : 1 Son Ferrer
13 Apr
Ferriolense
4 : 0 Son Ferrer
16 Mar
Manacor
4 : 0 Son Ferrer
03 Mar
Llosetense
1 : 0 Son Ferrer
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Constancia | 38 | 24 | 13 | 1 | 68:21 | 85 |
| 2 | Binissalem | 38 | 24 | 8 | 6 | 59:26 | 80 |
| 3 | Llosetense | 38 | 23 | 7 | 8 | 81:50 | 76 |
| 4 | CD Montuiri | 38 | 22 | 9 | 7 | 66:28 | 75 |
| 5 | El Espinar Sant Rafel | 38 | 20 | 12 | 6 | 56:23 | 72 |
| 6 | Pena Deportiva | 38 | 20 | 7 | 11 | 61:35 | 67 |
| 7 | Santanyi | 38 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 65:40 | 67 |
| 8 | Campos | 38 | 14 | 14 | 10 | 38:31 | 56 |
| 9 | UD Poblense | 38 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 49:39 | 55 |
| 10 | Mercadal | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 42:47 | 52 |
| 11 | Collerense | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 46:58 | 45 |
| 12 | Felanitx | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 36:58 | 42 |
| 13 | Son Ferrer | 38 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 28:50 | 42 |
| 14 | Alcudia | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 42:54 | 39 |
| 15 | Espana | 38 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 44:66 | 39 |
| 16 | Atletico Isleno | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 46:60 | 38 |
| 17 | Ferriolense | 38 | 10 | 6 | 22 | 44:60 | 36 |
| 18 | Platges de Calvia | 38 | 9 | 7 | 22 | 41:65 | 34 |
| 19 | CD Ferrerias | 38 | 5 | 8 | 25 | 27:87 | 23 |
| 20 | Alaior | 38 | 4 | 9 | 25 | 35:76 | 21 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)
