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UD Samano vs Atletico Astorga

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026
UD Samano Logo

UD Samano

1 - 3
FT
Atletico Astorga Logo

Atletico Astorga

Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Alvarez A.
19' Event
Sanchez M.
28' Event
Berzosa A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 game between UD Samano and Atletico Astorga finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Atletico Astorga.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
UD Samano
20%
Draws
64%
Atletico Astorga
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Atletico Astorga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Atletico Astorga come out ahead of UD Samano on wins alone.
  • Atletico Astorga are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 80.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
UD Samano Clean Sheet 10%
Atletico Astorga Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UD Samano Atletico Astorga
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 2 11
Draws 5 8
Losses 22 10
Goals Scored 0.72 1.31
Goals Conceded 2.83 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.22 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
UD Samano vs Atletico Astorga
1:3
Dec 6, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Atletico Astorga vs UD Samano
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

UD Samano Compare

Top Goalscorer Berzosa A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.94
Avg xA / game 0.61

Atletico Astorga Compare

Top Goalscorer Sanchez M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Alvarez A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UD Samano 10 / 100
Atletico Astorga 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UD Samano Atletico Astorga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Atletico Astorga Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Atletico Astorga let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

Atletico Astorga's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

UD Samano scored in 59% of their last 29 games.

Scoring Trends

UD Samano VS Atletico Astorga
0.57 Goals Scored 1.13
3.14 Goals Conceded 1.88
86% Over 1.5 75%
86% Over 2.5 50%
71% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

UD Samano

(Home)
05 Sept
UD Samano
2 : 2
CD Barquereno
03 May
UD Samano
0 : 5
Bergantinos
26 Apr
Marino De Luanco
4 : 1
UD Samano
19 Apr
UD Samano
0 : 3
Numancia
12 Apr
Langreo
4 : 1
UD Samano
Page 1 of 6

Atletico Astorga

(Away)
05 Sept
Atletico Astorga
0 : 1
Portugalete
29 Aug
Atletico Astorga
0 : 1
Palencia CF
26 Aug
Atletico Astorga
2 : 1
Salamanca CF UDS
21 Aug
Atletico Astorga
1 : 1
Leonesa
15 Aug
La Baneza
2 : 0
Atletico Astorga
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Deportivo Fabril 34 20 9 5 59:22 69
2 Real Oviedo B 34 16 10 8 50:35 58
3 Numancia 34 15 11 8 46:31 56
4 UD Ourense 34 15 10 9 40:34 55
5 Coruxo FC 34 15 7 12 46:37 52
6 Gimnastica Segoviana 34 14 9 11 37:36 51
7 Real Avila 34 14 8 12 48:52 50
8 Salamanca CF UDS 34 14 8 12 43:36 50
9 Rayo Cantabria 34 11 15 8 63:50 48
10 Bergantinos 34 13 9 12 44:37 48
11 Atletico Astorga 34 12 9 13 41:43 45
12 Marino De Luanco 34 11 12 11 31:26 45
13 Valladolid Promesas 34 12 9 13 59:58 45
14 Langreo 34 11 10 13 35:41 43
15 Sarriana 34 11 7 16 42:42 40
16 Burgos CF B 34 8 12 14 38:55 36
17 Lealtad 34 7 7 20 31:54 28
18 UD Samano 34 3 6 25 23:87 15
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)