Sport Picks
Match Events
7'
7'
Helguera O.
47'
47'
Basterrechea S.
54'
54'
Helguera O.
AI Match Summary
The Tercera RFEF - Group 3 game between UD Samano and CD Barquereno finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
30%
23%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: UD Samano
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and CD Barquereno come out ahead of UD Samano on wins alone.
- Model gives UD Samano a 47% chance of winning this.
- Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
UD Samano Clean Sheet 68%
CD Barquereno Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | UD Samano | CD Barquereno |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 3 | 8 |
| Draws | 5 | 6 |
| Losses | 21 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 0.79 | 1.2 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.66 | 1.8 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.81 | 2.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 5, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
UD Samano vs CD Barquereno
2:2
Mar 22, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
UD Samano vs CD Barquereno
4:1
Nov 10, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
CD Barquereno vs UD Samano
3:2
Jan 24, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
CD Barquereno vs UD Samano
0:3
Oct 24, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
UD Samano vs CD Barquereno
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
UD Samano Compare
Top Goalscorer Helguera O.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91
CD Barquereno Compare
Top Goalscorer Basterrechea S.
1 Goals Assists Leader Gutierrez H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
UD Samano 50 / 100
CD Barquereno 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
UD Samano CD Barquereno
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick UD Samano Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
CD Barquereno's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.
Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.
Difficult form: CD Barquereno registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.
Attacking prowess: UD Samano scored in 59% of their last 29 outings.
Scoring Trends
UD Samano VS CD Barquereno
1.13 Goals Scored 1
3.13 Goals Conceded 2.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
UD Samano
(Home) 20 Sept
UD Samano
4 : 1 Guarnizo
13 Sept
Vimenor
2 : 1 UD Samano
05 Sept
UD Samano
2 : 2 CD Barquereno
03 May
UD Samano
0 : 5 Bergantinos
26 Apr
Marino De Luanco
4 : 1 UD Samano
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
UD Samano
4 : 1 Guarnizo
05 Sept
UD Samano
2 : 2 CD Barquereno
03 May
UD Samano
0 : 5 Bergantinos
19 Apr
UD Samano
0 : 3 Numancia
28 Mar
UD Samano
0 : 4 Real Avila
Page 1 of 3
CD Barquereno
(Away) 20 Sept
Torina
3 : 0 CD Barquereno
13 Sept
CD Barquereno
0 : 1 Velarde
05 Sept
UD Samano
2 : 2 CD Barquereno
09 May
CD Barquereno
1 : 5 Gimnastic de Torrelavega
03 May
CD Revilla
1 : 1 CD Barquereno
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Torina
3 : 0 CD Barquereno
05 Sept
UD Samano
2 : 2 CD Barquereno
03 May
CD Revilla
1 : 1 CD Barquereno
19 Apr
CD Colindres
3 : 0 CD Barquereno
01 Apr
CD Laredo
3 : 2 CD Barquereno
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bezana | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8:3 | 9 |
| 2 | Vimenor | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7:2 | 9 |
| 3 | CD Tropezon | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7:2 | 9 |
| 4 | CD Revilla | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8:2 | 7 |
| 5 | Torina | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:1 | 7 |
| 6 | CD Laredo | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:2 | 6 |
| 7 | Cayon CD | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3:1 | 6 |
| 8 | Castro | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:2 | 5 |
| 9 | UD Samano | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7:5 | 4 |
| 10 | Velarde | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:4 | 4 |
| 11 | Selaya | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | 4 |
| 12 | Atletico Mineros | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:7 | 3 |
| 13 | Naval Reinosa | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:6 | 1 |
| 14 | CD Barquereno | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:6 | 1 |
| 15 | UM Escobedo | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:6 | 1 |
| 16 | Atletico Albericia | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:5 | 0 |
| 17 | Guarnizo | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:7 | 0 |
| 18 | Solares | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:6 | 0 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 3 (Play Offs)
