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UD Samano vs CD Siete Villas Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2024/2025
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Match Events

64' Event
Rojo A.
68' Event
Abad A.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2024/2025 game between UD Samano and CD Siete Villas finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward UD Samano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
UD Samano
20%
Draws
30%
CD Siete Villas
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: UD Samano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and UD Samano come out ahead of CD Siete Villas on wins alone.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on UD Samano taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
UD Samano Clean Sheet 68%
CD Siete Villas Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UD Samano CD Siete Villas
Matches Played 37 30
Wins 9 6
Draws 7 7
Losses 21 17
Goals Scored 1.08 0.93
Goals Conceded 2.19 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 17, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
UD Samano vs CD Siete Villas
2:0
Dec 6, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
CD Siete Villas vs UD Samano
0:2
Apr 28, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
CD Siete Villas vs UD Samano
3:0
Dec 16, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
UD Samano vs CD Siete Villas
1:4
Apr 6, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
CD Siete Villas vs UD Samano
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

UD Samano Compare

Top Goalscorer Rojo A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Abad A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

CD Siete Villas Compare

Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UD Samano 50 / 100
CD Siete Villas 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UD Samano CD Siete Villas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UD Samano Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: UD Samano scored in 65% of their last 37 outings.

CD Siete Villas let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Solid form: UD Samano remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

UD Samano VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
2.75 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

UD Samano

(Home)
27 Sept
Cayon CD
1 : 1
UD Samano
20 Sept
UD Samano
4 : 1
Guarnizo
13 Sept
Vimenor
2 : 1
UD Samano
05 Sept
UD Samano
2 : 2
CD Barquereno
03 May
UD Samano
0 : 5
Bergantinos
Page 1 of 8

CD Siete Villas

(Away)
10 May
CD Siete Villas
3 : 1
CD Tropezon
04 May
Barreda Balompie
1 : 0
CD Siete Villas
27 Apr
CD Siete Villas
0 : 2
Torina
17 Apr
UD Samano
2 : 0
CD Siete Villas
13 Apr
CD Siete Villas
1 : 3
Gama
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UD Samano 34 20 10 4 52:22 70
2 CD Tropezon 34 20 7 7 58:30 67
3 Atletico Albericia 34 19 7 8 64:39 64
4 Cayon CD 34 19 5 10 61:41 62
5 Castro 34 16 11 7 45:26 59
6 Vimenor 34 17 6 11 63:42 57
7 Bezana 34 15 9 10 46:41 54
8 Torina 34 14 8 12 49:44 50
9 CD Barquereno 34 13 10 11 60:59 49
10 Guarnizo 34 11 15 8 44:37 48
11 CD Revilla 34 12 6 16 46:53 42
12 CD Colindres 34 9 9 16 36:53 36
13 Gama 34 9 9 16 34:56 36
14 Atletico Mineros 34 9 8 17 33:58 35
15 Barreda Balompie 34 8 10 16 49:65 34
16 Naval Reinosa 34 9 6 19 40:59 33
17 CD Siete Villas 34 7 7 20 29:53 28
18 CD Monte 34 5 5 24 33:64 20
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2024/2025 (Play Offs)