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UD Samano vs Gimnastica Segoviana

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Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

UD Samano play Gimnastica Segoviana in the Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026. Gimnastica Segoviana are favorites here. Recently, UD Samano averaged 0.7 goals scored and 2.7 conceded. Gimnastica Segoviana averaged 1.03 goals scored and 1.1 conceded. In past meetings, UD Samano won 0, Gimnastica Segoviana won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Feb 1, 2026 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.00 for UD Samano and 2.13 for Gimnastica Segoviana. This points to a Gimnastica Segoviana double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

14%
UD Samano
22%
Draws
64%
Gimnastica Segoviana
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Gimnastica Segoviana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • UD Samano picked up more points recently compared to Gimnastica Segoviana.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.00 vs 2.13 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 56%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 56%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 47%
UD Samano Clean Sheet 10%
Gimnastica Segoviana Clean Sheet 15%
First Half Goal 62%
Second Half Goal 66%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UD Samano Gimnastica Segoviana
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 3 12
Draws 5 8
Losses 22 10
Goals Scored 0.7 1.03
Goals Conceded 2.7 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.50 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 1, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
UD Samano vs Gimnastica Segoviana
0:1
Sep 7, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Gimnastica Segoviana vs UD Samano
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

UD Samano Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Gimnastica Segoviana Compare

Top Goalscorer Pajin Silva J. I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UD Samano 15 / 100
Gimnastica Segoviana 61 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UD Samano Gimnastica Segoviana

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gimnastica Segoviana Win (2)
Secondary Pick Gimnastica Segoviana & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +133.4%
16.67
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12%
2.00
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

UD Samano attacking → ← attacking Gimnastica Segoviana

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UD Samano scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Gimnastica Segoviana let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

UD Samano went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Gimnastica Segoviana lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

14 Points in last 5 44
0.75 Goals expected (xG) 0.75
3.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Deportivo Fabril34209559:2269
2Real Oviedo B341610850:3558
3Numancia341511846:3156
4UD Ourense341510940:3455
5Coruxo FC341571246:3752
6Gimnastica Segoviana341491137:3651
7Real Avila341481248:5250
8Salamanca CF UDS341481243:3650
9Rayo Cantabria341115863:5048
10Bergantinos341391244:3748
11Atletico Astorga341291341:4345
12Marino De Luanco3411121131:2645
13Valladolid Promesas341291359:5845
14Langreo3411101335:4143
15Sarriana341171642:4240
16Burgos CF B348121438:5536
17Lealtad34772031:5428
18UD Samano34362523:8715